Magriel's NYT Columns |
| Black to play 6-1. |
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The obvious play is 24/18, continuing with the back man out to White’s bar-point. This play prepares Black to run, should he roll a high double (except 6-6). While this move is acceptable, Black has a more dynamic play.
The correct play is 13/7, exposing Black to a double direct shot on his side of the board. This seemingly large risk, however, is strategically justified. Black still has many men stacked up on his 13-point; by moving a man off his mid-point, he activates another builder and prepares to make his key points. Not only does Black mobilize his men with this play, he also hinders his opponent’s development. Black can use this back man to hit White and stop him from making important points. Besides, by staying back on the 24-point, Black incurs minimal liability — there is no rush for him to escape.
In addition to these strategic reasons, there is an important tactical consideration that makes this play advisable. Note that White needs to use 1’s and 3’s to cover his own blot on the 20-point — the identical numbers he needs to hit Black on the 5- or 7-point. Because White’s best numbers are duplicated, Black’s two blots are safer than they appear — White, in fact, has very few numbers that both hit and cover.
Rollout
Tom Keith 2013 |
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Money play Centered cube Black rolls 6-1 1296 games with VR Checker play: 2-ply Cube play: 3-ply Red |
6-1: | Game | G | BG | Equity | ||||
1 | bar/18 |
W L |
.5407 .4593 |
.0990 .0968 |
.0036 .0032 | +0.1408 | (b) | |
2 | bar/24, 13/7 |
W L |
.5311 .4689 |
.1303 .1132 |
.0052 .0040 | +0.1293 | (0.0115) | (c) |
3 | bar/24, 8/2 |
W L |
.5049 .4951 |
.1150 .1287 |
.0042 .0048 | +0.0013 | (0.1395) | (a) |
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