Magriel's NYT Columns |
There are certain circumstances, though, in which the beginner’s strategy of playing as safely as possible is correct. Such a situation arose recently one evening at the Game Room, at 2130 Broadway. Black, an experienced player, went astray when he failed to recognize the special nature of the position.
In the diagram, Black, who doubled early on, has a clear advantage. White has three men trapped back on Black’s 2-point. He has little hope of getting these men out of Black’s home board and home safely especially because Black controls the outfield. Black, on the other hand, has only one man left in White’s home board. Unfortunately for Black, he rolled a 2-1, one of the few combinations that did not permit him to extricate his back man.
| Black to play 2-1. |
The correct play is 9/8, 6/4, playing as safely as possible. Black must anticipate being attacked by White on the 20-point. He should prepare himself for this oncoming attack by “buttoning up” any loose men in the outfield.
In the actual game, however, Black played 13/11, 9/8, creating a builder for the bar-point (the 7-point) but leaving a man exposed on the 11-point. He reasoned that the danger of being hit there immediately was minimal. What he failed to take into account was that this blot could become a serious liability in the future.
(a) 9/8, 6/4 |
(b) 13/11, 9/8 |
When Black failed to reenter a second time, White redoubled and Black realized too late his mistake. Black was forced to pass because he feared that White would pick up a second man and go on to win a gammon or double game.
had made correct play |
Black's actual play |
It is important to recognize when the “button-up” play is required, instead of a seemingly natural play that creates builders. You should seriously consider buttoning up loose men under the following set of circumstances:
- Your opponent has a strong home board.
- You have the game all but won, except for one last man back.
- Your opponent’s only hope is a last-minute attack on this back man.
Rollout
Tom Keith 2013 |
|
Money play White owns 2-cube Black rolls 2-1 1296 games with VR Checker play: 2-ply Cube play: 3-ply Red |
2-1: | Game | G | BG | Equity | ||||
1 | 9/8, 6/4 |
W L |
.7482 .2518 |
.1763 .0677 |
.0080 .0006 | +0.5267 | (b) | |
2 | 9/6 |
W L |
.7314 .2686 |
.1738 .0702 |
.0088 .0008 | +0.4836 | (0.0431) | |
3 | 13/11, 9/8 |
W L |
.7325 .2675 |
.1843 .1056 |
.0087 .0015 | +0.4586 | (0.0681) | (a) |
Rollout
Tom Keith 2013 |
|
Money play White owns 2-cube White on roll 1296 games with VR Checker play: 2-ply Cube play: 3-ply Red |
Cube Action | Game | G | BG | Equity | |||||
No double |
W L |
.6949 .3051 |
.4881 .0721 |
.0056 .0039 | +0.9477 | (0.0523) | |||
Double | Take |
W L |
.6980 .3020 |
.4895 .0745 |
.0055 .0042 | +1.3971 | +1.0000 | ||
Drop | +1.0000 |
Rollout
Tom Keith 2013 |
|
Money play White owns 2-cube White on roll 1296 games with VR Checker play: 2-ply Cube play: 3-ply Red |
Cube Action | Game | G | BG | Equity | |||||
No double |
W L |
.6059 .3941 |
.2982 .0883 |
.0013 .0052 | +0.6151 | ||||
Double | Take |
W L |
.6088 .3912 |
.3013 .0923 |
.0015 .0060 | +0.5368 | +0.5368 | (0.0783) | |
Drop | +1.0000 |
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