Magriel's NYT Columns |
| Black to play 5-1. |
Strategically, the risk of leaving the man slotted on the 4-point is justified. If Black is able to make this point, he creates a dangerous home board that will inhibit White’s play later on. This extra point will be decisive in many possible future variations. Furthermore, White’s home board at present is still not strong, but will rapidly become so. Therefore, it is to Black’s advantage to take risks early to strengthen his own home board.
Once the strategic decision to leave the man slotted on the 4-point has been made, Black must still exercise care. The obvious play for Black is now 11/5, bringing the spare man into his home board to try to cover the 4-point next roll.
Black, however, has a superior tactical play that accomplishes the same strategic objective — 13/8, 11/10. With this move, Black brings into play two additional builders, and so increases his chance of covering the 4-point. Black’s men are now much more actively placed than if he had simply played 11/5.
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The Duplication Principle is a valuable tactical tool that increases the range of possible plays. Indeed, in the diagrammed position there is yet another play that is almost as good as the recommended: 13/8, 5/4, duplicating 4’s.
Rollout
Tom Keith 2013 |
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Money play Centered cube Black rolls 5-1 1296 games with VR Checker play: 2-ply Cube play: 3-ply Red |
5-1: | Game | G | BG | Equity | ||||
1 | 11/6, 4/3 |
W L |
.5945 .4055 |
.1177 .0838 |
.0031 .0027 | +0.3522 | ||
2 | 13/8, 4/3 |
W L |
.5762 .4238 |
.1403 .0984 |
.0044 .0038 | +0.2936 | (0.0586) | |
3 | 11/5 |
W L |
.5656 .4344 |
.1259 .0967 |
.0037 .0034 | +0.2335 | (0.1187) | (a) |
4 | 13/8, 11/10 |
W L |
.5672 .4328 |
.1190 .0997 |
.0040 .0039 | +0.2241 | (0.1281) | (b) |
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