Books |
Position 77a, page 146
From Backgammon for Blood, by Bruce Becker
From Backgammon for Blood, by Bruce Becker
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Should Black double to 2? |
If my opponent has a 2 and 5 position and throws the cube at me, do I take? Well, I do if it is exactly a 2 and 5 position that he has, and also if my position is at least 2 and 5 as well. The reason is this: although he has better than a 5-– chance of winning, there is still the factor of 3 to 1 odds working for me. So, although there are nineteen ways out of thirty-six for me to lose one dollar, there are seventeen ways out of thirty-six for me to stay alive and then have at least a 50–50 chance to win three. Therefore, the odds paradoxically are with me to accept.
Rollout
Tom Keith 2013 |
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Money play Centered cube Black on roll 1296 games with VR Checker play: 3-ply Cube play: XG Roller |
XGID=--A--A--------------a--a--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0
Cube Action | Game | G | BG | Equity | |||||
No double |
W L |
.7493 .2507 |
.0000 .0000 |
.0000 .0000 | +0.4753 | (0.4753) | |||
Double | Take |
W L |
.7493 .2507 |
.0000 .0000 |
.0000 .0000 | +0.9506 | +0.9506 | ||
Drop | +1.0000 |
Black should double and White should take
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