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Should white take? In all money games, the answer is yes. Black can hit with any 2, 3, or 4, which means that 27 shots hit and 9 do not, making him exactly a 3 to 1 favorite. You will recall that 3 to 1 is the dividing line on whether or not one accepts a double. In this instance, white is neither over nor under. But the determining factor here is that if black misses, white has good double-game possibilities, since he has five men off already. But because this was a tournament match, and due perhaps to the score at the time or the psychological blow he had just been dealt, white thought it expedient to drop.

Rollout  Tom Keith 2013

Money play Black owns 2-cube Black on roll 1296 games with VR Checker play: 3-ply Cube play: XG Roller

XGID=--BBCBB-----------A-aahAB-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0

Cube Action			Game	G	BG		Equity
No double		W L	.7414 .2586	.0000 .1311	.0000 .0299		+0.5198	(0.1561)
Double	Take	W L	.7601 .2399	.0000 .1293	.0000 .0261	+0.6759	+0.6759
	Drop					+1.0000

  Black should redouble and White should take  

“Three Great Games,” Backgammon: the Cruelest Game

Backgammon: the Cruelest Game (1974), by Barclay Cooke and Jon Bradshaw