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From Backgammon, the Cruelest Game, by Barclay Cooke and Jon Bradshaw
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| Black to play 4-1. |
After 4/off, black has a 1 to play. In this situation a dilemma almost always arises as to where to move the 1 in order to have the best chance of taking both men off on the subsequent roll.
A general rule: with two men left, it is never wise to double up — that is, to place both men on the same point. It is usually better to move the front man forward. In the position shown, black is a 19 to 17 underdog to take both men off on the next roll. The 1 is crucial here.
To move from the 4 point to the 3 point is irrelevant, since the same number of shots will get both men off next time. Black might just as well have left the man on the 4 point. The play, therefore, is to move the man on the 3 point to the 2 point, making black a 23 to 13 favorite to take both men off on the subsequent roll.
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Rollout
 Tom Keith 2013 |
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Money play Centered cube Black rolls 4-1 1296 games with VR Checker play: 3-ply Cube play: XG Roller |
| 4-1: | Game | G | BG | Equity | ||||
| 1 | 4/off, 3/2 |
W L |
.5324 .4676 |
.0000 .0000 |
.0000 .0000 | +0.2963 |
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| 2 | 4/3, 4/off |
W L |
.3935 .6065 |
.0000 .0000 |
.0000 .0000 | −0.4259 | (0.7222) | Not |
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