Books |
From The Backgammon Book, by Oswald Jacoby and John R. Crawford
| White to play 2-2. |
An optimistic player will bear off four men from the two point, saying to himself, “I have a good chance to win a gammon. True, I may have to give a shot the very next roll, but I may still win the game even if my blot is hit.”
A more conservative man will move his two men from the five to the three point, and his two men on the four point to the two point. He will say to himself, “If I am lucky, I may still win a gammon. I won’t have to give a shot on the next roll, and I’m quite likely never to give a shot. Playing this way, I can generally take my winnings down to the bank.”
We would make the conservative play, but we wouldn’t criticize anyone making the liberal play.
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Rollout
Tom Keith 2013 |
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Money play Black owns 2-cube White rolls 2-2 1296 games with VR Checker play: 3-ply Cube play: XG Roller |
2-2: | Game | G | BG | Equity | ||||
1 | 5/3(2), 2/off(2) |
W L |
.9299 .0701 |
.3090 .0000 |
.0165 .0000 | +1.1576 | ||
2 | 5/3(2), 4/2(2) |
W L |
.9648 .0352 |
.1919 .0000 |
.0060 .0000 | +1.1138 | (0.0438) | Conservative |
3 | 2/off(4) |
W L |
.8566 .1434 |
.3694 .0000 |
.0381 .0000 | +1.0655 | (0.0921) | Liberal |
4 | 4/off(2) |
W L |
.8871 .1129 |
.2843 .0000 |
.0136 .0000 | +1.0251 | (0.1325) |
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