Game number 6

Moshe Tissona (5 pts) vs. Jon Royset (1 pts) (Match to 25)


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Match Information

Moshe Tissona's rating: 0 (Exp 0)
Jon Royset's rating: 0 (Exp 0)
Date: July 13, 2003
Event: World Championship 2003
Round: Final
Place: Monte Carlo
Annotator: Casper van der Tak, Chuck Bower, Alex Zamanian, Tom Suzanski, Christian Toth and GNU 0.14


Annotation

Casper van der Tak:

Introduction


Royset elects to slot with a 21 and Tissona responds with a 65. Royset builds his 5 and 4 points, while Tissona only manages to make the bar-point. Royset hits a fly-shot in the outfield, and Tissona anchors on the deuce-point. Royset correctly doubles, and Tissona drops an easy take. Score: 5-2 Tissona.

Move number 1: Jon Royset to play 21

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|5O ' ' '3X '5X ' ' ' '2O|
|   |
|      |  21  |
|5X ' ' '3O '|   |5O ' ' ' '2X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 167, Jon Royset 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAglA1AACAAA

• Jon Royset moves 13/11 6/5

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 13/11 6/5 +0.063
  50.9% 14.6% 0.6% - 49.1% 14.3% 0.8%  
  2 2 24/23 13/11 +0.061 ( -0.001)
  50.6% 13.9% 0.6% - 49.4% 13.2% 0.4%  
  3 2 13/10 +0.029 ( -0.033)
  49.7% 14.2% 0.6% - 50.3% 13.9% 0.6%  
  4 2 24/21 +0.029 ( -0.034)
  50.1% 12.7% 0.5% - 49.9% 13.2% 0.4%  
  5 2 24/23 24/22 +0.001 ( -0.062)
  49.3% 12.4% 0.5% - 50.7% 13.4% 0.4%  

Move number 2: Moshe Tissona to play 65

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|4O ' ' '3X '5X ' ' ' '2O|
|   |
|  65  |      |
|5X1O ' '3O '|   |4O1O ' ' '2X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 167, Jon Royset 164
Position ID: 0HPkATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MAE3A1AACAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 24/13

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 24/13 -0.178
  47.5% 10.8% 0.5% - 52.5% 16.4% 0.5%  
  2 2 24/18 13/8 -0.275 ( -0.097)
  45.1% 11.4% 0.6% - 54.9% 18.1% 0.7%  
  3 2 13/8 13/7 -0.324 ( -0.146)
  43.2% 12.5% 0.6% - 56.8% 18.0% 1.0%  
  4 2 13/2 -0.462 ( -0.284)
  40.4% 11.5% 0.6% - 59.6% 20.4% 1.1%  
  5 2 24/18 8/3 -0.488 ( -0.310)
  40.6% 10.2% 0.5% - 59.4% 21.8% 1.2%  

Move number 3: Jon Royset to play 62

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|4O ' ' '3X '5X ' ' ' '2O|
|   |
|      |  62  |
|6X1O ' '3O '|   |4O1O ' ' '1X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 156, Jon Royset 164
Position ID: 4HPwAyDQc+QBMA Match ID: cAkrA1AACAAA

• Jon Royset moves 24/22 11/5

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 13/5 +0.197
  53.0% 16.8% 0.4% - 47.0% 10.6% 0.4%  
2 2 24/22 11/5 +0.187 ( -0.010)
  53.0% 15.3% 0.4% - 47.0% 9.6% 0.2%  
  3 2 11/5 6/4 +0.127 ( -0.069)
  51.4% 15.6% 0.4% - 48.6% 10.9% 0.5%  
  4 2 11/5 8/6 +0.118 ( -0.079)
  51.0% 15.7% 0.4% - 49.0% 10.9% 0.4%  
  5 2 24/16 -0.055 ( -0.252)
  48.2% 11.8% 0.3% - 51.8% 13.8% 0.6%  

Annotation
Casper van der Tak: What is the best two after covering the slot? Expert advice used to be to split the back checkers after opponent has escaped a back checker. However, lately we have learned that the proper idea is to build points and bring checkers to attack the back checker. Accordingly, 13/11 is indicated.

(I know this but it still goes against my instincts not to split).

Move number 4: Moshe Tissona to play 61

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|4O ' ' '3X '5X ' '1O '1O|
|   |
|  61  |      |
|6X ' ' '3O '|   |4O2O ' ' '1X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 156, Jon Royset 156
Position ID: sOfgASTgc/ADIA Match ID: MAEnA1AACAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 13/7 8/7

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 13/7 8/7 -0.139
  48.5% 9.7% 0.2% - 51.5% 14.7% 0.3%  
  2 2 13/6 -0.328 ( -0.189)
  43.6% 8.6% 0.2% - 56.4% 17.0% 0.4%  
  3 0 8/1* -0.507 ( -0.368)
  38.7% 7.8% 0.2% - 61.3% 19.4% 0.6%  
  4 0 24/23 13/7 -0.557 ( -0.418)
  38.1% 7.9% 0.2% - 61.9% 20.9% 0.7%  
  5 0 24/23 8/2 -0.624 ( -0.485)
  37.3% 7.8% 0.2% - 62.7% 22.3% 0.7%  

Move number 5: Jon Royset to play 11

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|4O ' ' '2X2X5X ' '1O '1O|
|   |
|      |  11  |
|5X ' ' '3O '|   |4O2O ' ' '1X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 149, Jon Royset 156
Position ID: 4NvgAyCw5+ABJA Match ID: cIkkA1AACAAA

• Jon Royset moves 6/4(2)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 6/4(2) +0.200
  53.6% 15.4% 0.4% - 46.4% 9.9% 0.3%  
  2 2 24/21 22/21 +0.148 ( -0.052)
  51.9% 12.0% 0.2% - 48.1% 6.3% 0.1%  
  3 2 24/22 8/7(2) +0.119 ( -0.081)
  50.8% 13.8% 0.2% - 49.2% 8.1% 0.2%  
  4 2 8/7(3) 6/5 +0.080 ( -0.120)
  50.4% 14.0% 0.3% - 49.6% 10.5% 0.2%  
  5 2 22/21 8/7(3) +0.059 ( -0.141)
  50.0% 13.8% 0.3% - 50.0% 11.2% 0.3%  

Move number 6: Moshe Tissona to play 21

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|4O ' ' '2X2X5X ' '1O '1O|
|   |
|  21  |      |
|5X ' ' '3O '|   |2O2O2O ' '1X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 149, Jon Royset 152
Position ID: 2ObgASTg2+ADIA Match ID: MAElA1AACAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 24/23 13/11

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 24/23 13/11 -0.414
  41.8% 9.0% 0.3% - 58.2% 19.1% 0.4%  
  2 2 13/10 -0.429 ( -0.015)
  41.2% 8.9% 0.2% - 58.8% 18.2% 0.5%  
  3 2 8/7 8/6 -0.550 ( -0.136)
  38.4% 7.6% 0.2% - 61.6% 19.2% 0.4%  
  4 2 6/3* -0.552 ( -0.138)
  38.9% 8.8% 0.3% - 61.1% 20.5% 0.8%  
  5 2 7/5 6/5 -0.555 ( -0.142)
  38.6% 9.0% 0.2% - 61.4% 19.9% 0.9%  

Annotation
Casper van der Tak: Tissona has two alternatives: 24/23 13/11 and 13/10. Playing 24/23 is no bargain, since it is not easier to escape from the 23 than from the 24, and it is easier for Royset to attack on the 23. But 13/10 leaves 8 shots, while 13/11 leaves 4. With Royset's strong board, safety is the overriding consideration.

Move number 7: Jon Royset to play 62

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|4O1X ' '2X2X5X ' '1O '1O|
|   |
|      |  62  |
|4X ' ' '3O '|   |2O2O2O '1X '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 146, Jon Royset 152
Position ID: 4NvIAxDY5uABJA Match ID: cAkrA1AACAAA

• Jon Royset moves 22/14*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.264 (Money: +0.266)
  58.2% 19.1% 0.4% - 41.8% 9.0% 0.3%
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.414 
2.Double, pass +1.000 (+0.586)
3.Double, take +0.320 (-0.094)
Proper cube action: No double, take (13.8%)

 

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.360)

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 22/14* +0.796
  68.7% 22.6% 0.7% - 31.3% 6.8% 0.2%  
  2 0 22/20 8/2* +0.366 ( -0.430)
  56.0% 21.4% 0.7% - 44.0% 10.3% 0.4%  
  3 0 13/11 8/2* +0.351 ( -0.445)
  55.5% 21.8% 0.7% - 44.5% 11.0% 0.5%  
  4 0 24/22 13/7 +0.307 ( -0.489)
  55.1% 17.1% 0.2% - 44.9% 7.5% 0.2%  
  5 0 24/22 8/2* +0.303 ( -0.492)
  54.2% 19.6% 0.4% - 45.8% 8.8% 0.2%  

Move number 8: Moshe Tissona to play 62

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|4O1O ' '2X2X5X ' ' ' '1O|
|1 |
|  62  |      |
|4X ' ' '3O '|   |2O2O2O '1X '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 160, Jon Royset 144
Position ID: 2ObgBSDg2+ABSA Match ID: MAErA1AACAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves bar/23 13/7

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 bar/23 13/7 -0.763
  30.8% 6.8% 0.1% - 69.2% 14.1% 0.4%  
  2 2 bar/23 7/1* -1.000 ( -0.237)
  25.7% 5.3% 0.1% - 74.3% 20.3% 1.0%  
  3 2 bar/23 8/2 -1.000 ( -0.237)
  25.8% 5.4% 0.1% - 74.2% 21.3% 1.0%  

Move number 9: Jon Royset doubles to 2

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|4O1O ' '2X3X5X ' ' ' '1O|
|   |
|      | [2]  |
|3X ' ' '3O '|   |2O2O2O '2X '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 152, Jon Royset 144
Position ID: 4LvBARjY5uAFIA Match ID: cBEgA1AACAAA

• Moshe Tissona rejects

Alert: wrong pass ( -0.124)! [bad]

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.505 (Money: +0.497)
  70.7% 14.4% 0.6% - 29.3% 6.5% 0.2%
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.876 
2.Double, pass +1.000 (+0.124)
3.No double +0.832 (-0.043)
Proper cube action:Double, take

Annotation
Casper van der Tak: An obvious double for Royset, yet an equally obvious take for Tissona. Sure, Royset has the better prime and better board, but Tissona has all checkers in play, has a mini prime of his own, and has only two checkers back. Tissona also has a reasonable standing in the race, should it come to that, and the 23-anchor cuts down on gammons. Tissona has many ways to win this as prime vs. prime, or as a deep anchor game. Clear take.

Jon Royset wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 6
PlayerMoshe TissonaJon Royset
Checker play statistics
Total moves 4 4
Unforced moves 4 4
Moves marked very good 0 0
Moves marked good 0 0
Moves marked interesting 0 0
Moves unmarked 4 4
Moves marked doubtful 0 0
Moves marked bad 0 0
Moves marked very bad 0 0
Error rate (total) 0 -0.010 ( -0.032%)
Error rate (pr. move) 0 -0.002 ( -0.008%)
Chequer play rating Supernatural World class
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky 0 0
Rolls marked lucky 0 1
Rolls unmarked 4 3
Rolls marked unlucky 0 0
Rolls marked very unlucky 0 0
Luck rate (total) -0.410 ( -1.327%) +0.421 ( +1.362%)
Luck rate (pr. move) -0.102 ( -0.332%) +0.105 ( +0.341%)
Luck rating "Haaa-haaa" Go to Las Vegas immediately
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions 5 4
Close or actual cube decisions 1 4
Doubles 0 1
Takes 0 0
Passes 1 0
Missed doubles around DP 0 0
Missed doubles around TG 0 0
Wrong doubles around DP 0 0
Wrong doubles around TG 0 0
Wrong takes 0 0
Wrong passes 1 (-0.124 ( -0.402%)) 0
Error rate (total) -0.124 ( -0.402%) 0
Error rate (per cube decision) -0.124 ( -0.402% ) 0
Cube decision rating Awful! Supernatural
Overall rating
Error rate (total) -0.124 ( -0.402%) -0.010 ( -0.032%)
Error rate (per decision) -0.025 ( -0.080% ) -0.001 ( -0.004%)
Equivalent Snowie error rate -15.5 -1.2
Overall rating Casual player Supernatural
Actual result 46.86% 53.14%
Luck adjusted result 49.55% 50.45%
Relative FIBS rating -1.55 1.55

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