Game number 13

Moshe Tissona (12 pts) vs. Jon Royset (5 pts) (Match to 25)

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Match Information

Moshe Tissona's rating: 0 (Exp 0)
Jon Royset's rating: 0 (Exp 0)
Date: July 13, 2003
Event: World Championship 2003
Round: Final
Place: Monte Carlo
Annotator: Casper van der Tak, Chuck Bower, Alex Zamanian, Tom Suzanski, Christian Toth, and GNU 0.14

Move number 1: Moshe Tissona to play 62

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 167, Jon Royset 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MAArA8AAKAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 24/18 13/11

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/18 13/11	-0.050
			51.7% 13.4% 0.6% - 48.3% 13.5% 0.4%
	2	2	24/16	-0.088 ( -0.038)
			50.9% 12.1% 0.4% - 49.1% 13.5% 0.4%
	3	2	13/5	-0.106 ( -0.056)
			49.8% 14.4% 0.6% - 50.2% 13.9% 0.6%
	4	2	24/22 24/18	-0.140 ( -0.090)
			49.7% 12.1% 0.6% - 50.3% 14.6% 0.4%
	5	2	13/11 13/7	-0.145 ( -0.094)
			49.1% 14.5% 0.7% - 50.9% 14.9% 0.8%

Move number 2: Jon Royset to play 31

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 159, Jon Royset 167
Position ID: 4HPkQSDgc/ABMA Match ID: cIklA8AAKAAA

• Jon Royset moves 8/5 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/5 6/5	+0.071
			48.8% 13.3% 0.4% - 51.2% 12.3% 0.5%
	2	2	24/21 8/7*	+0.022 ( -0.049)
			48.0% 12.5% 0.5% - 52.0% 13.6% 0.5%
	3	2	13/10 8/7*	+0.015 ( -0.056)
			47.8% 13.6% 0.6% - 52.2% 15.6% 1.0%
	4	2	8/7*/4	-0.072 ( -0.143)
			45.7% 12.5% 0.5% - 54.3% 16.2% 0.9%
	5	2	24/21 6/5	-0.101 ( -0.172)
			45.2% 10.7% 0.3% - 54.8% 14.5% 0.6%

Move number 3: Moshe Tissona to play 41

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 159, Jon Royset 163
Position ID: sGfwATDgc+RBIA Match ID: MAEmA8AAKAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 18/13

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	11/7 8/7	-0.203
			48.4% 12.2% 0.5% - 51.6% 16.1% 0.5%
•	2	2	18/13	-0.231 ( -0.028)
			47.8% 11.4% 0.5% - 52.2% 16.3% 0.5%
	3	2	24/23 18/14	-0.373 ( -0.170)
			44.9% 11.0% 0.5% - 55.1% 19.0% 0.7%
	4	2	13/8	-0.391 ( -0.188)
			44.3% 11.6% 0.6% - 55.7% 19.2% 0.8%
	5	2	18/14 11/10	-0.409 ( -0.206)
			43.8% 10.9% 0.5% - 56.2% 19.0% 0.8%

Move number 4: Jon Royset to play 21

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 154, Jon Royset 163
Position ID: 4HPkAyCwZ/ABMA Match ID: cAklA8AAKAAA

• Jon Royset moves 24/22 6/5

Ply

Move

Equity

•

24/22 6/5

+0.063

49.1%	13.6%	0.3%	-	50.9%	11.9%	0.5%	+0.016	+0.063
0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.005	0.011

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

13/11 6/5

+0.055 ( -0.008)

48.8%	14.2%	0.5%	-	51.2%	12.4%	0.8%	+0.015	+0.055
0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.005	0.013

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

24/21

+0.047 ( -0.017)

49.0%	12.7%	0.4%	-	51.0%	10.6%	0.5%	+0.018	+0.047
0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.005	0.012

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

24/23 13/11

+0.043 ( -0.020)

48.9%	14.4%	0.4%	-	51.1%	12.0%	0.5%	+0.023	+0.043
0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.005	0.013

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

13/10

+0.034 ( -0.029)

48.3%	14.1%	0.5%	-	51.7%	12.3%	0.7%	+0.002	+0.034
0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.005	0.012

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Annotation

Bots: Snowie judged the move played as 5th and a 0.044 error suggesting 13/10 instead, whereas GNU agreed with Royset's choice.

Move number 5: Moshe Tissona to play 44

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 154, Jon Royset 160
Position ID: cGfwASTgc+QDIA Match ID: MAEyA8AAKAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 13/5(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/5(2)	+0.119
			55.7% 15.8% 0.5% - 44.3% 11.6% 0.3%
	2	2	13/9(2) 6/2(2)	+0.014 ( -0.105)
			53.3% 15.3% 0.5% - 46.7% 13.4% 0.4%
	3	2	13/9(2) 11/3*	-0.129 ( -0.248)
			49.7% 13.3% 0.5% - 50.3% 14.6% 0.4%
	4	2	11/3* 8/4(2)	-0.233 ( -0.351)
			47.5% 15.1% 0.6% - 52.5% 16.7% 0.8%
	5	0	13/9(2) 8/4(2)	-0.208 ( -0.326)
			47.1% 13.7% 0.5% - 52.9% 15.1% 0.6%

Move number 6: Jon Royset to play 63

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 138, Jon Royset 160
Position ID: sM+RAyBwZ/ABJA Match ID: cAkvA8AAKAAA

• Jon Royset moves 22/13

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	22/13	-0.304
			40.7% 8.5% 0.2% - 59.3% 17.9% 0.5%
	2	2	22/16 13/10	-0.316 ( -0.012)
			40.8% 10.0% 0.3% - 59.2% 22.0% 1.0%
	3	2	24/21 22/16	-0.321 ( -0.017)
			41.1% 8.0% 0.2% - 58.9% 20.6% 0.6%
	4	2	13/4	-0.346 ( -0.042)
			39.7% 10.4% 0.3% - 60.3% 22.4% 1.2%
	5	2	13/10 13/7	-0.356 ( -0.053)
			39.9% 10.8% 0.4% - 60.1% 24.0% 1.7%

Move number 7: Moshe Tissona to play 44

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 138, Jon Royset 151
Position ID: cGfwAyCwz5EDIA Match ID: MAEyA8AAKAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 8/4(2) 6/2(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/4(2) 6/2(2)	+0.618
			64.6% 28.6% 0.5% - 35.4% 7.3% 0.2%
	2	2	6/2(2) 5/1*(2)	+0.447 ( -0.171)
			61.4% 24.5% 0.2% - 38.6% 8.1% 0.2%
	3	2	13/5 6/2(2)	+0.445 ( -0.172)
			62.2% 24.3% 0.3% - 37.8% 8.1% 0.2%
	4	2	13/9 8/4(3)	+0.385 ( -0.233)
			60.2% 24.6% 0.4% - 39.8% 8.3% 0.3%
	5	2	8/4(2) 5/1*(2)	+0.381 ( -0.236)
			59.1% 25.6% 0.2% - 40.9% 8.5% 0.2%

Move number 8: Jon Royset to play 66

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 122, Jon Royset 151
Position ID: ZjuRAyBwZ/ADIA Match ID: cAk7A8AAKAAA

• Jon Royset moves 13/7(4)

Alert: bad move ( -0.112)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.551)

Ply

Move

Equity

13/1*(2)

-0.057

45.8%	14.3%	0.4%	-	54.2%	16.5%	0.4%	-0.094	-0.057
0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	-	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.004	0.009

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

•

13/7(4)

-0.168 ( -0.112)

45.3%	10.5%	0.5%	-	54.7%	19.6%	0.2%	-0.171	-0.168
0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.004	0.011

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

13/7(2) 8/2(2)

-0.260 ( -0.203)

41.5% 11.0% 0.4% - 58.5% 21.0% 0.4%

13/1* 13/7(2)

-0.293 ( -0.236)

41.4% 11.4% 0.4% - 58.6% 23.6% 0.7%

24/18 13/7(3)

-0.354 ( -0.297)

42.0% 8.4% 0.5% - 58.0% 25.5% 0.2%

Annotation

Chuck Bower: "One back, attack!"

Move number 9: Moshe Tissona to play 31

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 122, Jon Royset 127
Position ID: cPcGAyBmO5EDIA Match ID: MIElA8AAKAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 24/23 11/8

Ply

Move

Equity

8/4

-0.106

47.4%	15.5%	0.3%	-	52.6%	11.6%	0.4%	-0.028	-0.106
0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.005	0.011

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

11/10 8/5

-0.114 ( -0.008)

47.1%	15.5%	0.3%	-	52.9%	11.7%	0.4%	-0.034	-0.114
0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.005	0.012

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

11/8 6/5

-0.123 ( -0.017)

47.0%	14.2%	0.3%	-	53.0%	11.2%	0.4%	-0.046	-0.123
0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.004	0.011

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

24/23 8/5

-0.128 ( -0.022)

47.6%	15.3%	0.3%	-	52.4%	12.6%	0.4%	-0.038	-0.128
0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.004	0.012

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

•

24/23 11/8

-0.169 ( -0.063)

46.1%	13.2%	0.3%	-	53.9%	11.3%	0.4%	-0.073	-0.169
0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.004	0.011

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1175372288

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Annotation

Chuck Bower: 24/23 is not the best ace and 11/8 is not the best 3. The top two plays (based upon the rollouts) do neither. The next two plays do one of each. Doing both comes in a rather distant fifth.

Bots: Snowie approved of the move played, whereas GNU thought it was a small 0.020 error. Both bots thought 8/4 was a ~0.035 mistake.

Move number 10: Jon Royset to play 53

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 118, Jon Royset 127
Position ID: ZjuDAxBw9wYDIA Match ID: cIkuA8AAKAAA

• Jon Royset moves 7/2* 5/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	7/2* 5/2	+0.103
			50.3% 14.2% 0.3% - 49.7% 14.4% 0.4%
	2	2	13/10 13/8	-0.150 ( -0.253)
			44.1% 10.8% 0.4% - 55.9% 17.1% 0.3%
	3	0	13/5	-0.466 ( -0.569)
			36.6% 8.7% 0.3% - 63.4% 23.6% 0.6%
	4	0	8/3 6/3	-0.499 ( -0.602)
			36.0% 10.4% 0.3% - 64.0% 28.0% 0.7%
	5	0	13/8 5/2*	-0.558 ( -0.661)
			34.8% 8.9% 0.2% - 65.2% 27.9% 1.0%

Move number 11: Moshe Tissona to play 51

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 120, Jon Royset 119
Position ID: xu4GAyBmO4MDQA Match ID: MIEmA8AAKAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves bar/24 6/1*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/24 6/1*	-0.096
			50.1% 18.0% 0.3% - 49.9% 15.4% 0.6%
	2	2	bar/24 13/8	-0.135 ( -0.038)
			48.0% 14.3% 0.3% - 52.0% 11.6% 0.4%
	3	0	bar/24 8/3	-0.437 ( -0.340)
			42.3% 14.7% 0.4% - 57.7% 21.2% 0.9%

Move number 12: Jon Royset to play 31

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 114, Jon Royset 120
Position ID: zTaDAyDG7gYDQA Match ID: cIklA8AAKAAA

• Jon Royset moves bar/24* 8/5

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.396)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/24* 8/5	+0.512
			58.3% 23.0% 0.9% - 41.7% 12.9% 0.4%
	2	2	bar/24* 13/10	+0.374 ( -0.138)
			54.6% 21.5% 0.8% - 45.4% 15.1% 0.7%
	3	2	bar/24* 7/4	+0.310 ( -0.201)
			54.0% 22.1% 0.9% - 46.0% 17.8% 0.7%
	4	0	bar/24* 6/3	+0.136 ( -0.375)
			50.1% 19.0% 0.8% - 49.9% 19.3% 0.7%
	5	0	bar/22 6/5	+0.128 ( -0.384)
			51.7% 14.5% 0.6% - 48.3% 17.9% 0.3%

Move number 13: Moshe Tissona to play 52

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 138, Jon Royset 116
Position ID: xt0FAyBmm8EBUA Match ID: MIEqA8AAKAAA

• Moshe Tissona cannot move

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.525)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 14: Jon Royset doubles to 2

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 138, Jon Royset 116
Position ID: ZpvBAVDG3QUDIA Match ID: cBEgA8AAKAAA

• Moshe Tissona rejects

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.618	(Money: +0.617)
	67.8% 34.1% 1.1% - 32.2% 8.9% 0.3%
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000
2.	Double, take	+1.263	(+0.263)
3.	No double	+0.897	(-0.103)
Proper cube action:		Double, pass

Jon Royset wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 13
Player	Moshe Tissona	Jon Royset
Checker play statistics
Total moves	7	6
Unforced moves	6	6
Moves marked very good	0	0
Moves marked good	0	0
Moves marked interesting	0	0
Moves unmarked	5	5
Moves marked doubtful	2	0
Moves marked bad	0	1
Moves marked very bad	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.091 ( -0.283%)	-0.112 ( -0.348%)
Error rate (pr. move)	-0.015 ( -0.047% )	-0.019 ( -0.058%)
Chequer play rating	Intermediate	Casual player
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	0
Rolls marked lucky	0	2
Rolls unmarked	6	4
Rolls marked unlucky	1	0
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck rate (total)	-0.426 ( -1.328%)	+0.531 ( +1.656%)
Luck rate (pr. move)	-0.061 ( -0.190%)	+0.089 ( +0.276%)
Luck rating	Go to bed	Go to Las Vegas immediately
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	7	7
Close or actual cube decisions	1	5
Doubles	0	1
Takes	0	0
Passes	1	0
Missed doubles around DP	0	0
Missed doubles around TG	0	0
Wrong doubles around DP	0	0
Wrong doubles around TG	0	0
Wrong takes	0	0
Wrong passes	0	0
Error rate (total)	0	0
Error rate (per cube decision)	0	0
Cube decision rating	Supernatural	Supernatural
Overall rating
Error rate (total)	-0.091 ( -0.283%)	-0.112 ( -0.348%)
Error rate (per decision)	-0.013 ( -0.040% )	-0.010 ( -0.032%)
Equivalent Snowie error rate	-7.0	-8.6
Overall rating	Intermediate	Advanced
Actual result	47.11%	52.89%
Luck adjusted result	50.09%	49.91%
Relative FIBS rating	0.32	-0.32

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Output generated Sat Aug 09 03:09:48 2003 by GNU Backgammon 0.14-devel 1.1238 030804 (HTML Export version 1.126)