Game number 21

Moshe Tissona (15 pts) vs. Jon Royset (15 pts) (Match to 25)

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Match Information

Moshe Tissona's rating: 0 (Exp 0)
Jon Royset's rating: 0 (Exp 0)
Date: July 13, 2003
Event: World Championship 2003
Round: Final
Place: Monte Carlo
Annotator: Casper van der Tak, Chuck Bower, Alex Zamanian, Tom Suzanski, Christian Toth, and GNU 0.14

Move number 1: Jon Royset to play 63

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 167, Jon Royset 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAgvA/AAeAAA

• Jon Royset moves 24/18 13/10

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/18 13/10	+0.043
			51.4% 13.6% 0.6% - 48.6% 13.6% 0.4%
	2	2	24/15	+0.017 ( -0.026)
			51.0% 12.3% 0.5% - 49.0% 13.4% 0.4%
	3	2	13/4	-0.020 ( -0.063)
			49.3% 14.3% 0.6% - 50.7% 14.1% 0.6%
	4	2	24/21 13/7	-0.023 ( -0.066)
			49.4% 13.9% 0.7% - 50.6% 14.0% 0.5%
	5	2	24/21 24/18	-0.039 ( -0.082)
			49.8% 12.0% 0.7% - 50.2% 14.7% 0.4%

Move number 2: Moshe Tissona to play 51

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 167, Jon Royset 158
Position ID: 4HPiQSDgc/ABMA Match ID: MIEmA/AAeAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 8/7* 6/1*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/7*	-0.061
			48.4% 13.6% 0.6% - 51.6% 14.5% 0.7%
•	2	2	8/7* 6/1*	-0.061 ( -0.000)
			48.4% 14.7% 0.5% - 51.6% 15.4% 0.9%
	3	2	24/23 13/8	-0.183 ( -0.122)
			45.3% 11.2% 0.3% - 54.7% 14.2% 0.4%
	4	2	24/23 6/1*	-0.190 ( -0.129)
			45.0% 11.8% 0.3% - 55.0% 14.5% 0.6%
	5	2	24/18	-0.198 ( -0.137)
			45.5% 9.7% 0.2% - 54.5% 14.6% 0.4%

Move number 3: Jon Royset to play 32

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 161, Jon Royset 166
Position ID: wWvwATDgc+IBYA Match ID: cIkpA/AAeAAA

• Jon Royset moves bar/23 bar/22

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/23 bar/22	+0.096
			52.8% 15.5% 0.9% - 47.2% 14.8% 0.5%

Move number 4: Moshe Tissona to play 32

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 161, Jon Royset 161
Position ID: 4HPiARTBa/ABMA Match ID: MIEpA/AAeAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 7/4 6/4

Alert: bad move ( -0.123)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	6/3*/1	+0.009
			49.4% 16.3% 0.5% - 50.6% 14.0% 0.6%
•	2	2	7/4 6/4	-0.115 ( -0.123)
			47.1% 14.1% 0.4% - 52.9% 16.0% 0.7%
	3	2	8/5 7/5	-0.257 ( -0.266)
			43.4% 13.2% 0.5% - 56.6% 17.2% 1.0%
	4	2	6/1	-0.294 ( -0.303)
			42.5% 12.7% 0.3% - 57.5% 17.3% 0.9%
	5	2	13/8	-0.328 ( -0.337)
			42.1% 11.6% 0.4% - 57.9% 17.8% 1.0%

Move number 5: Jon Royset to play 42

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 156, Jon Royset 161
Position ID: MWfwATDgc+IBFA Match ID: cAkqA/AAeAAA

• Jon Royset moves 8/4 6/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/4 6/4	+0.171
			54.4% 17.9% 1.0% - 45.6% 14.9% 0.6%
	2	2	13/9 10/8	-0.078 ( -0.250)
			48.7% 14.6% 0.7% - 51.3% 17.9% 0.7%
	3	2	22/20 13/9	-0.094 ( -0.265)
			48.9% 15.0% 0.8% - 51.1% 19.1% 0.9%
	4	2	13/11 10/6	-0.116 ( -0.287)
			47.9% 14.1% 0.7% - 52.1% 18.4% 0.7%
	5	2	22/20 10/6	-0.118 ( -0.289)
			48.0% 13.2% 0.7% - 52.0% 17.8% 0.6%

Move number 6: Moshe Tissona to play 44

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 156, Jon Royset 155
Position ID: mGfiARQxZ/ABMA Match ID: MAEyA/AAeAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 24/20(2) 13/9(2)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.537)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/20(2) 13/9(2)	+0.403
			59.6% 17.2% 0.5% - 40.4% 7.8% 0.1%
	2	2	13/5(2)	+0.214 ( -0.189)
			53.8% 22.5% 0.8% - 46.2% 14.1% 0.7%
	3	2	24/16(2)	+0.207 ( -0.197)
			56.5% 11.6% 0.3% - 43.5% 10.6% 0.2%
	4	0	24/20(2) 13/5	+0.082 ( -0.322)
			51.3% 13.9% 0.5% - 48.7% 10.5% 0.3%
	5	0	24/20 13/9(3)	+0.029 ( -0.374)
			50.7% 17.0% 0.7% - 49.3% 16.5% 0.5%

Move number 7: Jon Royset to play 64

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 140, Jon Royset 155
Position ID: MWfDAQOYZ+IBFA Match ID: cAkzA/AAeAAA

• Jon Royset moves 8/2 6/2

Ply

Move

Equity

10/4 6/2

-0.512

39.2%	8.3%	0.3%	-	60.8%	22.3%	0.5%	-0.368	-0.512
0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.006	0.015

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174562176

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

13/7 10/6

-0.515 ( -0.003)

39.2%	8.4%	0.3%	-	60.8%	21.9%	0.9%	-0.363	-0.515
0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.006	0.015

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174562176

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

22/18 10/4

-0.540 ( -0.028)

39.2%	7.3%	0.3%	-	60.8%	21.9%	0.5%	-0.372	-0.540
0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.006	0.014

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174562176

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

13/3

-0.541 ( -0.029)

38.5%	8.9%	0.3%	-	61.5%	24.0%	1.2%	-0.397	-0.541
0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.007	0.016

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174562176

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

13/9 10/4

-0.549 ( -0.037)

38.6%	9.1%	0.4%	-	61.4%	22.5%	0.9%	-0.374	-0.549
0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.006	0.014

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174562176

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

•

8/2 6/2

-0.551 ( -0.039)

37.7%	9.0%	0.5%	-	62.3%	24.8%	1.7%	-0.428	-0.551
0.3%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.007	0.023

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174562176

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

Annotation

Bots: Snowie agreed 8/2 6/2 was a poor choice but thought it was a -0.158 blunder. It preferred 13/9 10/4. GNU was only slightly more optimistic and said it was a 0.079 mistake, and chose 13/7 10/6.

Move number 8: Moshe Tissona to play 21

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 140, Jon Royset 145
Position ID: Zk7iARQxZ8MBAw Match ID: MAElA/AAeAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 13/10

Alert: missed double ( -0.013)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.414	(Money: +0.401)
	61.5% 25.8% 1.5% - 38.5% 9.9% 0.2%
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.554
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	(+0.446)
3.	No double	+0.541	(-0.013)
Proper cube action:		Double, take

Ply

Move

Equity

•

13/10

+0.349

57.4%	15.7%	0.5%	-	42.6%	8.6%	0.3%	+0.225	+0.349
0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.004	0.011

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174599936

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

20/17*

+0.274 ( -0.075)

57.0%	17.4%	1.1%	-	43.0%	14.8%	0.7%	+0.171	+0.274
0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.005	0.012

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174599936

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

6/3*

+0.222 ( -0.127)

55.0% 17.4% 0.8% - 45.0% 12.7% 0.4%

4/3*/1

+0.218 ( -0.130)

54.2% 18.6% 0.8% - 45.8% 11.1% 0.2%

4/2*/1

+0.178 ( -0.170)

53.5% 17.5% 0.7% - 46.5% 10.9% 0.2%

Annotation

Bots: GNU preferred 20/17* over 13/10, whereas Snowie thought it a mistake.

Move number 9: Jon Royset to play 61

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 137, Jon Royset 145
Position ID: MWeLAQNmTuIBFA Match ID: cAknA/AAeAAA

• Jon Royset moves 23/22 10/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	23/22 10/4	-0.384
			39.0% 9.8% 0.2% - 61.0% 13.0% 0.3%
	2	2	23/22 13/7	-0.424 ( -0.040)
			39.1% 10.2% 0.2% - 60.9% 16.0% 0.7%
	3	2	13/7 8/7	-0.448 ( -0.064)
			40.4% 9.3% 0.2% - 59.6% 22.1% 0.8%
	4	2	23/22 8/2	-0.481 ( -0.097)
			36.8% 8.6% 0.1% - 63.2% 13.5% 0.3%
	5	2	10/4 8/7	-0.538 ( -0.154)
			38.2% 9.8% 0.2% - 61.8% 23.8% 0.9%

Move number 10: Moshe Tissona to play 31

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 137, Jon Royset 138
Position ID: 5pzgAQwxZ4sBAw Match ID: MIElA/AAeAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 10/6

Alert: bad move ( -0.131)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	20/17* 10/9	+0.466
			62.7% 16.7% 0.6% - 37.3% 12.4% 0.3%
	2	2	20/17*/16	+0.361 ( -0.105)
			60.7% 16.2% 0.6% - 39.3% 14.8% 0.5%
•	3	2	10/6	+0.336 ( -0.131)
			59.2% 13.3% 0.3% - 40.8% 8.6% 0.1%
	4	2	8/5 6/5	+0.314 ( -0.152)
			58.3% 15.5% 0.5% - 41.7% 10.9% 0.4%
	5	2	10/7 8/7	+0.257 ( -0.210)
			56.9% 13.7% 0.4% - 43.1% 9.8% 0.2%

Move number 11: Jon Royset to play 63

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 133, Jon Royset 138
Position ID: Mc+GAQPmnOABDA Match ID: cAkvA/AAeAAA

• Jon Royset moves 8/2 4/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/4	-0.388
			39.1% 9.7% 0.2% - 60.9% 13.1% 0.3%
	2	2	13/10 8/2	-0.399 ( -0.011)
			39.0% 10.3% 0.2% - 61.0% 13.9% 0.3%
•	3	2	8/2 4/1	-0.404 ( -0.016)
			38.7% 8.7% 0.1% - 61.3% 12.9% 0.2%
	4	2	13/7 6/3	-0.412 ( -0.024)
			39.1% 11.0% 0.2% - 60.9% 15.9% 0.6%
	5	2	8/2 6/3	-0.414 ( -0.027)
			38.4% 8.6% 0.1% - 61.6% 13.1% 0.3%

Move number 12: Moshe Tissona to play 53

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 133, Jon Royset 129
Position ID: nTngAQwxz4YBAw Match ID: MIEuA/AAeAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 13/10 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/10 13/8	+0.505
			62.9% 14.5% 0.3% - 37.1% 6.3% 0.1%
	2	2	13/10 6/1	+0.505 ( -0.000)
			62.1% 18.0% 0.4% - 37.9% 8.3% 0.1%
	3	2	20/17 6/1	+0.382 ( -0.123)
			61.2% 15.5% 0.3% - 38.8% 12.3% 0.2%
	4	2	9/1	+0.289 ( -0.216)
			56.7% 16.6% 0.3% - 43.3% 9.5% 0.1%
	5	2	13/5	+0.252 ( -0.253)
			56.3% 16.7% 0.5% - 43.7% 12.0% 0.3%

Move number 13: Jon Royset to play 53

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 125, Jon Royset 129
Position ID: Mc8tAAOdOeABDA Match ID: cIkuA/AAeAAA

• Jon Royset moves 13/10 6/1

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/10 6/1	-0.502
			36.5% 7.2% 0.0% - 63.5% 13.2% 0.1%
	2	2	13/10 13/8	-0.569 ( -0.067)
			35.0% 9.0% 0.2% - 65.0% 16.4% 0.4%
	3	2	13/8 6/3	-0.580 ( -0.078)
			34.8% 7.6% 0.1% - 65.2% 14.5% 0.2%
	4	2	13/8 4/1	-0.617 ( -0.115)
			33.8% 7.1% 0.1% - 66.1% 14.5% 0.2%
	5	0	6/3 6/1	-0.893 ( -0.391)
			29.7% 5.7% 0.0% - 70.3% 17.6% 0.2%

Move number 14: Moshe Tissona to play 31

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 125, Jon Royset 121
Position ID: OzPEAQwxzy0AAw Match ID: MIElA/AAeAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 8/5 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/5 6/5	+0.864
			69.9% 17.4% 0.3% - 30.1% 5.5% 0.1%
	2	2	10/7 8/7	+0.702 ( -0.162)
			67.5% 15.9% 0.3% - 32.5% 6.8% 0.1%
	3	2	10/6	+0.442 ( -0.422)
			61.1% 15.6% 0.3% - 38.9% 6.7% 0.1%
	4	0	6/2	+0.365 ( -0.499)
			59.5% 14.3% 0.3% - 40.5% 7.9% 0.1%
	5	0	10/9 8/5	+0.353 ( -0.511)
			59.0% 15.2% 0.3% - 41.0% 8.5% 0.1%

Move number 15: Jon Royset to play 44

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 121, Jon Royset 121
Position ID: sZ0tAAM7M8QBDA Match ID: cAkyA/AAeAAA

• Jon Royset moves 22/18(2) 13/9(2)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.563)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	22/14(2)	-0.117
			48.5% 8.7% 0.3% - 51.5% 13.4% 0.3%
•	2	2	22/18(2) 13/9(2)	-0.117 ( -0.000)
			47.7% 10.3% 0.3% - 52.3% 14.7% 0.4%
	3	2	22/18(2) 13/9 10/6	-0.164 ( -0.048)
			46.6% 9.1% 0.2% - 53.4% 13.3% 0.2%
	4	2	22/18(2) 10/2	-0.214 ( -0.098)
			46.3% 4.5% 0.0% - 53.7% 12.4% 0.1%
	5	2	22/10 22/18	-0.423 ( -0.307)
			41.7% 8.2% 0.1% - 58.3% 19.0% 0.3%

Move number 16: Moshe Tissona to play 65

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 121, Jon Royset 105
Position ID: OzMWwQCxnS0AAw Match ID: MAE3A/AAeAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 20/15* 10/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	20/15* 10/4	+0.404
			60.5% 25.9% 0.9% - 39.5% 15.3% 0.5%
	2	2	20/15*/9	+0.351 ( -0.053)
			58.9% 21.0% 0.7% - 41.1% 14.3% 0.5%
	3	2	20/15* 20/14	+0.281 ( -0.123)
			58.6% 18.8% 0.5% - 41.4% 18.8% 1.2%
	4	0	10/4 6/1	+0.061 ( -0.343)
			50.0% 9.0% 0.1% - 50.0% 4.0% 0.0%
	5	0	10/5 9/3	-0.152 ( -0.556)
			43.8% 9.4% 0.2% - 56.2% 6.7% 0.1%

Move number 17: Jon Royset to play 54

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 110, Jon Royset 120
Position ID: cTsbCAI7M4ZgQA Match ID: cIkyA/AAeAAA

• Jon Royset cannot move

Alert: very unlucky roll! ( -0.672)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Annotation

Bots: GNU thought it was a clear Double/Pass whereas Snowie thought it was Too Good to Double and that doubling was a 0.028 error.

Move number 18: Moshe Tissona doubles to 2

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 110, Jon Royset 120
Position ID: OzOGYEBxOxsIAg Match ID: MBkgA/AAeAAA

• Jon Royset rejects

Alert: wrong double ( -0.024)!

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0.903

(Money: +0.886)

Cubeful equities:

No double

+1.024

Double, take

+1.716

(+0.692)

Double, pass

+1.000

(-0.024)

Proper cube action:

Too good to double, pass (3.4%)

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	75.9%	42.8%	0.9%	-	24.1%	6.7%	0.2%	+0.903	+1.024
Standard error	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	-	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.004	0.009
Player Jon Royset owns 2-cube	76.5%	43.0%	1.0%	-	23.5%	6.5%	0.2%	+1.902	+1.716
Standard error	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.010	0.013

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174633728 and quasi-random dice

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Moshe Tissona wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 21
Player	Moshe Tissona	Jon Royset
Checker play statistics
Total moves	8	9
Unforced moves	8	7
Moves marked very good	0	0
Moves marked good	0	0
Moves marked interesting	0	0
Moves unmarked	6	8
Moves marked doubtful	0	1
Moves marked bad	2	0
Moves marked very bad	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.255 ( -1.222%)	-0.055 ( -0.264%)
Error rate (pr. move)	-0.032 ( -0.153% )	-0.008 ( -0.038%)
Chequer play rating	Beginner	Expert
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	0
Rolls marked lucky	1	1
Rolls unmarked	7	7
Rolls marked unlucky	0	0
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	1
Luck rate (total)	+0.589 ( +2.827%)	-0.613 ( -2.942%)
Luck rate (pr. move)	+0.074 ( +0.353%)	-0.068 ( -0.327%)
Luck rating	Go to Las Vegas immediately	Go to bed
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	9	9
Close or actual cube decisions	5	1
Doubles	1	0
Takes	0	0
Passes	0	1
Missed doubles around DP	1 (-0.013 ( -0.061%))	0
Missed doubles around TG	0	0
Wrong doubles around DP	0	0
Wrong doubles around TG	1 (-0.024 ( -0.116%))	0
Wrong takes	0	0
Wrong passes	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.037 ( -0.177%)	0
Error rate (per cube decision)	-0.007 ( -0.035% )	0
Cube decision rating	Expert	Supernatural
Overall rating
Error rate (total)	-0.291 ( -1.399%)	-0.055 ( -0.264%)
Error rate (per decision)	-0.022 ( -0.108% )	-0.007 ( -0.033%)
Equivalent Snowie error rate	-17.1	-3.2
Overall rating	Casual player	Expert
Actual result	54.80%	45.20%
Luck adjusted result	49.03%	50.97%
Relative FIBS rating	-3.37	3.37

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Output generated Sat Aug 09 03:09:49 2003 by GNU Backgammon 0.14-devel 1.1238 030804 (HTML Export version 1.126)