Game number 23

Moshe Tissona (16 pts) vs. Jon Royset (17 pts) (Match to 25)

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Match Information

Moshe Tissona's rating: 0 (Exp 0)
Jon Royset's rating: 0 (Exp 0)
Date: July 13, 2003
Event: World Championship 2003
Round: Final
Place: Monte Carlo
Annotator: Casper van der Tak, Chuck Bower, Alex Zamanian, Tom Suzanski, Christian Toth, and GNU 0.14

Move number 1: Jon Royset to play 52

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 167, Jon Royset 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cIgqAwABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 13/11 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	24/22 13/8	+0.033
			51.0% 13.7% 0.5% - 49.0% 13.0% 0.4%
•	2	2	13/11 13/8	+0.032 ( -0.001)
			50.7% 15.1% 0.7% - 49.3% 13.8% 0.5%
	3	2	13/8 6/4	-0.020 ( -0.052)
			49.6% 13.9% 0.5% - 50.4% 13.9% 0.6%
	4	2	13/6	-0.053 ( -0.085)
			48.7% 13.9% 0.7% - 51.3% 14.5% 0.5%
	5	2	13/11 8/3	-0.132 ( -0.165)
			47.0% 13.9% 0.6% - 53.0% 16.1% 0.9%

Move number 2: Moshe Tissona to play 31

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 167, Jon Royset 160
Position ID: 4PPIATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MIElAwABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 8/5 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/5 6/5	+0.157
			53.8% 16.5% 0.8% - 46.2% 13.8% 0.7%
	2	2	13/10 6/5	-0.093 ( -0.249)
			48.2% 13.4% 0.6% - 51.8% 16.5% 1.1%
	3	2	24/23 13/10	-0.128 ( -0.284)
			47.1% 13.0% 0.5% - 52.9% 16.5% 0.7%
	4	2	13/9	-0.135 ( -0.291)
			46.6% 13.2% 0.5% - 53.4% 16.0% 0.8%
	5	0	24/21 6/5	-0.161 ( -0.318)
			46.7% 12.1% 0.7% - 53.3% 17.7% 0.8%

Move number 3: Jon Royset to play 65

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 163, Jon Royset 160
Position ID: sGfwATDg88gBMA Match ID: cAk3AwABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 24/13

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/13	-0.063
			49.4% 12.4% 0.6% - 50.6% 15.5% 0.4%
	2	2	24/18 11/6	-0.290 ( -0.227)
			43.8% 11.6% 0.6% - 56.2% 18.4% 0.6%
	3	2	24/18 13/8	-0.293 ( -0.230)
			44.0% 12.3% 0.7% - 56.0% 19.6% 0.8%
	4	0	24/18 8/3	-0.439 ( -0.376)
			40.6% 11.4% 0.6% - 59.4% 22.7% 1.3%
	5	0	13/8 11/5	-0.441 ( -0.378)
			39.3% 11.5% 0.6% - 60.7% 19.8% 1.3%

Move number 4: Moshe Tissona to play 66

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 163, Jon Royset 149
Position ID: 4PPIAyCwZ/ABMA Match ID: MAE7AwABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 24/18(2) 13/7(2)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.587)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/18(2) 13/7(2)	+0.784
			67.9% 17.8% 0.4% - 32.1% 5.6% 0.1%
	2	2	13/1*(2)	+0.604 ( -0.180)
			60.5% 28.8% 0.6% - 39.5% 8.7% 0.3%
	3	2	24/18 13/7(3)	+0.485 ( -0.299)
			61.0% 19.3% 0.6% - 39.0% 9.5% 0.2%
	4	0	24/18(2) 13/1*	+0.347 ( -0.437)
			57.8% 16.4% 0.3% - 42.2% 7.5% 0.1%
	5	0	13/7(4)	+0.332 ( -0.452)
			56.6% 20.4% 0.5% - 43.4% 10.0% 0.3%

Move number 5: Jon Royset to play 42

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 139, Jon Royset 149
Position ID: sLfBwQDg88gDIA Match ID: cAkqAwABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 8/4 6/4

Alert: bad move ( -0.086)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/11 8/4	-0.680
			34.2% 6.5% 0.1% - 65.8% 18.6% 0.4%
	2	2	13/9 11/9	-0.695 ( -0.015)
			33.6% 5.6% 0.1% - 66.4% 17.2% 0.3%
	3	2	13/11 6/2	-0.736 ( -0.056)
			33.6% 6.3% 0.1% - 66.4% 19.8% 0.4%
•	4	2	8/4 6/4	-0.766 ( -0.086)
			32.7% 6.2% 0.1% - 67.3% 18.8% 0.5%
	5	2	11/5	-0.791 ( -0.112)
			32.5% 5.9% 0.1% - 67.5% 19.3% 0.4%

Move number 6: Moshe Tissona to play 32

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 139, Jon Royset 143
Position ID: mOfIAyCwt8HBAA Match ID: MIEpAwABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 13/8

Alert: missed double ( -0.045)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.473	(Money: +0.476)
	67.3% 18.8% 0.5% - 32.7% 6.2% 0.1%
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.754
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	(+0.246)
3.	No double	+0.710	(-0.045)
Proper cube action:		Double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/8	+0.659
			66.5% 15.2% 0.3% - 33.5% 5.7% 0.1%
	2	2	7/4 6/4	+0.621 ( -0.038)
			63.3% 18.6% 0.4% - 36.7% 7.1% 0.2%
	3	2	13/11 13/10	+0.614 ( -0.045)
			64.5% 16.8% 0.4% - 35.5% 7.8% 0.2%
	4	2	13/10 6/4	+0.594 ( -0.065)
			64.2% 17.1% 0.3% - 35.8% 8.9% 0.3%
	5	2	13/11 6/3	+0.526 ( -0.132)
			62.4% 16.6% 0.3% - 37.6% 8.5% 0.2%

Move number 7: Jon Royset to play 54

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 134, Jon Royset 143
Position ID: sLeDwQCY58gDIA Match ID: cIkyAwABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 11/2

Ply

Move

Equity

11/6 8/4

-0.749

32.4%	5.4%	0.3%	-	67.6%	16.8%	0.3%	-0.479	-0.749
0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.006	0.017

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174643584

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

•

11/2

-0.761 ( -0.012)

32.4%	5.6%	0.1%	-	67.6%	17.2%	0.4%	-0.481	-0.761
0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.006	0.014

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174643584

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

13/9 11/6

-0.743 ( +0.006)

32.2% 6.3% 0.1% - 67.8% 17.4% 0.4%

13/4

-0.805 ( -0.056)

31.3% 6.2% 0.1% - 68.7% 18.1% 0.5%

13/8 6/2

-0.886 ( -0.137)

30.8% 6.2% 0.1% - 69.2% 20.3% 0.6%

Annotation

Bots: Snowie thinks the move played was a 0.022 error and recommends 11/6 8/4, whereas GNU thinks it's the other way around.

Move number 8: Moshe Tissona to play 51

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 134, Jon Royset 134
Position ID: Ms/BAyCwt4PBAA Match ID: MIEmAwABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 13/7

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.433	(Money: +0.434)
	66.2% 16.9% 0.4% - 33.8% 6.1% 0.1%
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.675
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	(+0.325)
3.	Double, take	+0.669	(-0.007)
Proper cube action:		No double, take (2.1%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/8 6/5	+0.571
			63.8% 16.3% 0.4% - 36.2% 6.8% 0.2%
•	2	2	13/7	+0.563 ( -0.008)
			63.5% 16.4% 0.4% - 36.5% 6.7% 0.1%
	3	2	8/3 6/5	+0.475 ( -0.096)
			61.6% 16.9% 0.4% - 38.4% 9.2% 0.2%
	4	2	18/13 6/5	+0.472 ( -0.099)
			62.8% 13.8% 0.5% - 37.2% 9.1% 0.1%
	5	2	8/7 6/1*	+0.411 ( -0.160)
			59.9% 16.2% 0.2% - 40.1% 8.2% 0.2%

Move number 9: Jon Royset to play 64

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 128, Jon Royset 134
Position ID: sHcHwQAyz8EDIA Match ID: cAkzAwABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 13/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/3	-0.658
			34.0% 6.5% 0.1% - 66.0% 16.5% 0.4%
	2	2	13/9 8/2	-0.680 ( -0.022)
			33.4% 7.0% 0.1% - 66.6% 17.1% 0.4%
	3	2	8/2 6/2	-0.711 ( -0.053)
			33.1% 5.8% 0.1% - 66.9% 17.0% 0.4%
	4	2	8/4 8/2	-0.836 ( -0.178)
			31.5% 6.8% 0.1% - 68.5% 19.8% 0.5%

Move number 10: Moshe Tissona to play 11

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 128, Jon Royset 124
Position ID: ap6DAyCwdwfBAA Match ID: MIEkAwABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 6/4(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.423	(Money: +0.424)
	66.0% 16.5% 0.4% - 34.0% 6.5% 0.1%
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.658
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	(+0.342)
3.	Double, take	+0.649	(-0.009)
Proper cube action:		No double, take (2.5%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	6/4(2)	+0.884
			75.3% 16.8% 0.3% - 24.7% 5.2% 0.1%
	2	0	8/5 6/5	+0.408 ( -0.475)
			61.5% 13.4% 0.3% - 38.5% 8.0% 0.2%
	3	0	7/4 6/5	+0.391 ( -0.493)
			61.4% 15.6% 0.4% - 38.6% 11.6% 0.4%
	4	0	8/5 7/6	+0.331 ( -0.552)
			59.3% 12.7% 0.3% - 40.7% 8.2% 0.2%
	5	0	8/4	+0.329 ( -0.555)
			59.5% 15.3% 0.4% - 40.5% 11.7% 0.4%

Move number 11: Jon Royset to play 22

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 124, Jon Royset 124
Position ID: 2HYHwQBqnoMDIA Match ID: cAkpAwABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 24/22 8/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/22 8/2	-0.896
			30.4% 8.3% 0.2% - 69.6% 21.2% 0.6%
	2	2	24/22 6/2 6/4	-0.928 ( -0.032)
			29.9% 7.7% 0.2% - 70.1% 21.1% 0.5%
	3	2	24/22 6/2 3/1	-0.941 ( -0.045)
			29.7% 7.7% 0.1% - 70.3% 21.4% 0.4%
	4	2	24/22 13/11(3)	-0.997 ( -0.101)
			27.1% 6.9% 0.2% - 72.9% 17.4% 0.4%
	5	2	8/2 6/4	-1.000 ( -0.104)
			25.2% 5.1% 0.1% - 74.8% 16.7% 0.4%

Annotation

Bots: Both Snowie and GNU were quite critical of Royset's decision to pass, with Snowie declaring it was a 0.051 mistake, and GNU stating it was a 0.118 blunder.

Move number 12: Moshe Tissona doubles to 2

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 124, Jon Royset 116
Position ID: 1jyDAwjYdgfBAA Match ID: MBkgAwABiAAA

• Jon Royset rejects

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0.564

(Money: +0.560)

Cubeful equities:

Double, pass

+1.000

Double, take

+1.046

(+0.046)

No double

+0.719

(-0.281)

Proper cube action:

Double, pass

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Centered 1-cube	71.4%	20.6%	0.5%	-	28.6%	7.6%	0.3%	+0.564	+0.719
Standard error	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.006	0.013
Player Jon Royset owns 2-cube	72.5%	20.6%	0.5%	-	27.5%	7.1%	0.2%	+1.220	+1.046
Standard error	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	-	0.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.015	0.021

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174460288 and quasi-random dice

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

Moshe Tissona wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 23
Player	Moshe Tissona	Jon Royset
Checker play statistics
Total moves	5	6
Unforced moves	5	6
Moves marked very good	0	0
Moves marked good	0	0
Moves marked interesting	0	0
Moves unmarked	5	5
Moves marked doubtful	0	0
Moves marked bad	0	1
Moves marked very bad	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.008 ( -0.041%)	-0.099 ( -0.508%)
Error rate (pr. move)	-0.002 ( -0.008% )	-0.016 ( -0.085%)
Chequer play rating	Supernatural	Intermediate
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	0
Rolls marked lucky	1	0
Rolls unmarked	4	6
Rolls marked unlucky	0	0
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck rate (total)	+0.626 ( +3.224%)	-0.252 ( -1.298%)
Luck rate (pr. move)	+0.125 ( +0.645%)	-0.042 ( -0.216%)
Luck rating	Go to Las Vegas immediately	Better luck next time
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	6	6
Close or actual cube decisions	4	1
Doubles	1	0
Takes	0	0
Passes	0	1
Missed doubles around DP	1 (-0.045 ( -0.230%))	0
Missed doubles around TG	0	0
Wrong doubles around DP	0	0
Wrong doubles around TG	0	0
Wrong takes	0	0
Wrong passes	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.045 ( -0.230%)	0
Error rate (per cube decision)	-0.011 ( -0.057% )	0
Cube decision rating	Advanced	Supernatural
Overall rating
Error rate (total)	-0.053 ( -0.270%)	-0.099 ( -0.508%)
Error rate (per decision)	-0.006 ( -0.030% )	-0.014 ( -0.073%)
Equivalent Snowie error rate	-4.8	-9.0
Overall rating	Expert	Intermediate
Actual result	55.10%	44.90%
Luck adjusted result	50.58%	49.42%
Relative FIBS rating	2.01	-2.01

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Output generated Sat Aug 09 03:09:50 2003 by GNU Backgammon 0.14-devel 1.1238 030804 (HTML Export version 1.126)