Game number 24

Moshe Tissona (17 pts) vs. Jon Royset (17 pts) (Match to 25)

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Match Information

Moshe Tissona's rating: 0 (Exp 0)
Jon Royset's rating: 0 (Exp 0)
Date: July 13, 2003
Event: World Championship 2003
Round: Final
Place: Monte Carlo
Annotator: Casper van der Tak, Chuck Bower, Alex Zamanian, Tom Suzanski, Christian Toth, and GNU 0.14

Move number 1: Jon Royset to play 54

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 167, Jon Royset 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cIgyAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 13/9 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	24/20 13/8	+0.075
			51.9% 14.1% 0.7% - 48.1% 12.8% 0.4%
•	2	2	13/9 13/8	+0.054 ( -0.020)
			50.8% 15.6% 0.7% - 49.2% 13.4% 0.5%
	3	2	24/15	+0.017 ( -0.057)
			51.0% 12.3% 0.5% - 49.0% 13.4% 0.4%
	4	2	13/4	-0.021 ( -0.095)
			49.2% 14.3% 0.6% - 50.8% 14.0% 0.6%
	5	2	13/8 6/2	-0.093 ( -0.168)
			47.6% 13.6% 0.6% - 52.4% 15.1% 0.6%

Move number 2: Moshe Tissona to play 63

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 167, Jon Royset 158
Position ID: 4PPCATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MAEvAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 24/15

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/15	-0.151
			47.6% 11.2% 0.5% - 52.4% 17.1% 0.5%
	2	2	24/18 13/10	-0.154 ( -0.003)
			47.4% 11.9% 0.6% - 52.6% 17.4% 0.7%
	3	2	13/4	-0.200 ( -0.050)
			45.5% 12.8% 0.5% - 54.5% 17.2% 0.9%
	4	2	13/10 13/7	-0.231 ( -0.081)
			45.1% 12.7% 0.6% - 54.9% 18.1% 1.2%
	5	2	24/21 13/7	-0.245 ( -0.094)
			45.0% 11.8% 0.5% - 55.0% 18.4% 0.8%

Move number 3: Jon Royset to play 11

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 158, Jon Royset 158
Position ID: 4HPwCSDg88IBMA Match ID: cIkkAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 8/7(2) 6/5(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/7(2) 6/5(2)	+0.493
			61.0% 19.7% 0.5% - 39.0% 9.3% 0.3%
	2	2	24/22 6/5(2)	+0.273 ( -0.220)
			55.8% 17.3% 0.5% - 44.2% 9.7% 0.3%
	3	2	24/23 6/5(3)	+0.251 ( -0.242)
			55.2% 17.0% 0.4% - 44.8% 9.6% 0.3%
	4	2	8/5 6/5	+0.248 ( -0.245)
			54.8% 18.5% 0.5% - 45.2% 10.3% 0.4%
	5	2	24/23 9/8 6/5(2)	+0.223 ( -0.270)
			54.5% 16.2% 0.4% - 45.5% 9.5% 0.2%

Move number 4: Moshe Tissona to play 52

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 158, Jon Royset 154
Position ID: sNvCATDgc/AJIA Match ID: MIEqAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 24/22 15/10

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	15/10 13/11	-0.520
			37.9% 9.3% 0.3% - 62.1% 19.6% 0.8%
•	2	2	24/22 15/10	-0.568 ( -0.049)
			37.7% 8.9% 0.4% - 62.3% 22.3% 0.7%
	3	2	15/8	-0.586 ( -0.066)
			37.4% 8.5% 0.3% - 62.6% 20.4% 0.6%
	4	2	15/10 8/6	-0.662 ( -0.142)
			35.0% 8.3% 0.2% - 65.0% 20.8% 0.7%
	5	2	15/10 6/4	-0.691 ( -0.171)
			35.7% 8.3% 0.2% - 64.3% 23.5% 1.2%

Move number 5: Jon Royset to play 63

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 151, Jon Royset 154
Position ID: 4HPiAwiw28IBMA Match ID: cAkvAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 9/3* 6/3

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.399	(Money: +0.383)
	62.3% 22.3% 0.7% - 37.7% 8.9% 0.4%
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.573
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	(+0.427)
3.	Double, take	+0.549	(-0.024)
Proper cube action:		No double, take (5.3%)

Ply

Move

Equity

24/15*

+0.764

67.3%	20.5%	0.8%	-	32.7%	6.9%	0.3%	+0.505	+0.764
0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.005	0.012

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174474624

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

•

9/3* 6/3

+0.758 ( -0.006)

64.9%	27.0%	1.0%	-	35.1%	7.0%	0.4%	+0.527	+0.758
0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.004	0.014

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174474624

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

24/21 9/3*

+0.574 ( -0.189)

61.8% 23.4% 0.9% - 38.2% 9.1% 0.3%

13/10 9/3*

+0.438 ( -0.325)

59.4% 22.6% 0.8% - 40.6% 10.6% 0.5%

13/7 6/3*

+0.409 ( -0.354)

59.0% 21.3% 0.7% - 41.0% 10.6% 0.5%

Annotation

Bots: Snowie thinks 24/15* is best and that the move played is a 0.024 error.

Move number 6: Moshe Tissona to play 41

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 154, Jon Royset 145
Position ID: zLbBATDgc+IDQA Match ID: MAEmAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves bar/21 10/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	bar/24 13/9	-0.790
			34.5% 8.2% 0.3% - 65.5% 25.0% 1.1%
•	2	2	bar/21 10/9	-0.814 ( -0.024)
			35.6% 7.6% 0.4% - 64.4% 28.5% 0.9%
	3	2	bar/21 6/5	-0.845 ( -0.056)
			35.9% 7.5% 0.3% - 64.1% 30.0% 1.5%
	4	2	bar/24 10/6	-0.861 ( -0.071)
			33.4% 7.3% 0.3% - 66.6% 25.3% 0.7%
	5	2	bar/24 8/4	-1.000 ( -0.210)
			31.6% 7.0% 0.2% - 68.4% 29.2% 1.6%

Move number 7: Jon Royset to play 53

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 149, Jon Royset 145
Position ID: 4HPhAwTMtsEBMA Match ID: cIkuAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 24/16*

Alert: missed double ( -0.143)! [bad]

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.527	(Money: +0.502)
	64.4% 28.5% 0.9% - 35.6% 7.6% 0.4%
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.828
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	(+0.172)
3.	No double	+0.685	(-0.143)
Proper cube action:		Double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/16*	+0.921
			72.9% 27.2% 1.0% - 27.1% 5.0% 0.1%
	2	2	13/8 7/4*	+0.585 ( -0.336)
			61.7% 29.6% 1.0% - 38.3% 9.4% 0.5%
	3	0	24/21 13/8	+0.496 ( -0.425)
			60.4% 21.5% 0.5% - 39.6% 7.2% 0.2%
	4	0	8/3 7/4*	+0.436 ( -0.485)
			57.8% 27.1% 1.1% - 42.2% 11.3% 0.7%
	5	0	7/4* 7/2	+0.419 ( -0.502)
			57.6% 26.2% 1.1% - 42.4% 11.3% 0.7%

Move number 8: Moshe Tissona to play 53

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 165, Jon Royset 137
Position ID: zLbBESDgc/ABQg Match ID: MIEuAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona cannot move

#		Ply	Move	Equity
			Cannot move

Move number 9: Jon Royset to play 62

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 165, Jon Royset 137
Position ID: 4HPwAULMtsERIA Match ID: cAkrAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 24/16

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.950	(Money: +0.909)
	75.9% 42.0% 1.5% - 24.1% 4.3% 0.1%
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+1.109
2.	Double, take	+1.791	(+0.681)
3.	Double, pass	+1.000	(-0.109)
Proper cube action:		Too good to double, pass (13.8%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/16	+1.073
			78.2% 26.3% 0.7% - 21.8% 3.3% 0.1%
	2	2	13/5	+1.062 ( -0.011)
			75.8% 33.3% 1.2% - 24.2% 4.3% 0.1%
	3	2	24/22 16/10	+1.060 ( -0.013)
			75.8% 30.3% 1.0% - 24.2% 4.0% 0.1%
	4	2	16/10 13/11	+1.052 ( -0.021)
			75.7% 31.9% 1.0% - 24.3% 4.2% 0.1%
	5	2	16/8	+1.042 ( -0.031)
			76.1% 29.7% 0.9% - 23.9% 3.9% 0.1%

Move number 10: Moshe Tissona to play 42

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 165, Jon Royset 129
Position ID: zLbBMQDgc/ABQg Match ID: MAEqAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves bar/21 6/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/21 6/4	-0.852
			27.5% 3.3% 0.1% - 72.5% 7.5% 0.1%
	2	2	bar/21 8/6	-0.935 ( -0.084)
			25.9% 2.8% 0.0% - 74.1% 7.2% 0.1%
	3	2	bar/21 13/11	-1.000 ( -0.148)
			25.7% 3.0% 0.0% - 74.3% 10.4% 0.2%
	4	2	bar/23 8/4	-1.103 ( -0.251)
			23.6% 4.3% 0.1% - 76.4% 38.9% 1.4%
	5	2	bar/23 6/2	-1.123 ( -0.272)
			22.8% 4.1% 0.1% - 77.2% 39.2% 1.2%

Move number 11: Jon Royset doubles to 2

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 159, Jon Royset 129
Position ID: yHPwAQbMtsExAA Match ID: cBEgAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona accepts

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.498	(Money: +0.493)
	72.5% 7.5% 0.1% - 27.5% 3.3% 0.1%
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.858
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	(+0.142)
3.	No double	+0.821	(-0.036)
Proper cube action:		Double, take

Move number 12: Jon Royset to play 64

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 159, Jon Royset 129
Position ID: yHPwAQbMtsExAA Match ID: QQkzAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 16/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	16/6	+0.476
			74.5% 10.0% 0.1% - 25.5% 3.4% 0.1%
	2	2	13/3	+0.402 ( -0.074)
			72.1% 8.7% 0.1% - 27.9% 3.8% 0.1%
	3	2	13/9 13/7	+0.399 ( -0.077)
			70.8% 11.9% 0.2% - 29.2% 4.3% 0.1%
	4	2	16/10 13/9	+0.342 ( -0.134)
			67.6% 15.5% 0.4% - 32.4% 6.1% 0.2%
	5	2	13/9 8/2	+0.320 ( -0.156)
			67.6% 13.1% 0.2% - 32.4% 5.9% 0.1%

Move number 13: Moshe Tissona to play 51

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 159, Jon Royset 119
Position ID: zG6DIwDIc/ABBg Match ID: AYEmAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 8/3 4/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/8 6/5	-0.556
			21.0% 1.6% 0.0% - 79.0% 5.8% 0.1%
	2	2	13/7	-0.560 ( -0.005)
			20.9% 1.6% 0.0% - 79.0% 6.1% 0.1%
	3	2	8/3 6/5	-0.565 ( -0.010)
			20.5% 1.5% 0.0% - 79.5% 5.5% 0.1%
•	4	2	8/3 4/3	-0.570 ( -0.014)
			20.8% 1.7% 0.0% - 79.2% 6.8% 0.1%
	5	2	8/7 8/3	-0.584 ( -0.029)
			19.8% 1.4% 0.0% - 80.2% 5.6% 0.1%

Move number 14: Jon Royset to play 54

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 153, Jon Royset 119
Position ID: jGfwAQbMboMjAA Match ID: QYkyAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 16/7

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	16/7	+0.661
			83.1% 6.1% 0.1% - 16.9% 1.0% 0.0%
	2	2	16/11 6/2	+0.614 ( -0.046)
			80.4% 8.6% 0.1% - 19.6% 1.9% 0.0%
	3	2	16/11 13/9	+0.608 ( -0.053)
			79.0% 11.7% 0.3% - 21.0% 2.7% 0.1%
	4	2	16/11 7/3	+0.505 ( -0.156)
			74.3% 13.6% 0.3% - 25.7% 3.8% 0.1%
	5	2	13/8 6/2	+0.405 ( -0.256)
			72.4% 8.9% 0.1% - 27.6% 4.4% 0.1%

Move number 15: Moshe Tissona to play 55

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 153, Jon Royset 110
Position ID: zO4GBwCMZ/ABBg Match ID: AYE2AxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 21/16(2) 13/8(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/3 13/8(2)	-0.540
			20.9% 1.1% 0.0% - 79.0% 3.7% 0.0%
	2	2	13/8(2) 6/1(2)	-0.546 ( -0.006)
			20.7% 1.1% 0.0% - 79.3% 3.8% 0.0%
	3	2	13/8(3) 6/1	-0.548 ( -0.008)
			20.7% 1.1% 0.0% - 79.3% 3.9% 0.0%
	4	2	13/3 13/8 6/1	-0.553 ( -0.012)
			20.5% 1.1% 0.0% - 79.5% 4.0% 0.0%
	5	2	13/3(2)	-0.563 ( -0.022)
			20.3% 1.0% 0.0% - 79.7% 4.3% 0.0%
•	8	2	21/16(2) 13/8(2)	-0.612 ( -0.072)
			17.4% 0.3% 0.0% - 82.6% 1.9% 0.0%

Move number 16: Jon Royset to play 31

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 133, Jon Royset 110
Position ID: jOfBMQDM7gYHAA Match ID: QYklAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 7/4 6/5

Ply

Move

Equity

•

7/4 6/5

+0.527

79.3%	0.7%	0.0%	-	20.7%	0.5%	0.0%	+0.588	+0.527
0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	-	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.003	0.004

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174505984

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

7/6 7/4

+0.525 ( -0.002)

79.2%	0.7%	0.0%	-	20.8%	0.4%	0.0%	+0.587	+0.525
0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	-	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.003	0.004

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174505984

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

8/5 7/6

+0.525 ( -0.003)

79.2%	0.7%	0.0%	-	20.8%	0.4%	0.0%	+0.586	+0.525
0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	-	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.003	0.004

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174505984

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

8/4

+0.522 ( -0.005)

79.2%	0.6%	0.0%	-	20.8%	0.4%	0.0%	+0.586	+0.522
0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	-	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.003	0.003

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174505984

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

7/4 5/4

+0.522 ( -0.006)

79.1%	0.6%	0.0%	-	20.9%	0.4%	0.0%	+0.585	+0.522
0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	-	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.003	0.004

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174505984

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Annotation

Bots: Although Snowie disagrees, both think the difference is very small.

Move number 17: Moshe Tissona to play 65

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 133, Jon Royset 106
Position ID: rNsGBwCM58ExAA Match ID: AQE3AxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 13/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/2	-0.492
			22.4% 0.3% 0.0% - 77.6% 1.6% 0.0%
	2	2	13/7 8/3	-0.495 ( -0.003)
			22.2% 0.3% 0.0% - 77.8% 1.6% 0.0%
	3	2	8/3 8/2	-0.500 ( -0.008)
			22.1% 0.3% 0.0% - 77.9% 1.8% 0.0%
	4	2	13/7 6/1	-0.504 ( -0.012)
			21.9% 0.3% 0.0% - 78.1% 1.7% 0.0%
	5	2	8/2 6/1	-0.510 ( -0.017)
			21.8% 0.3% 0.0% - 78.3% 1.9% 0.0%

Move number 18: Jon Royset to play 52

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 122, Jon Royset 106
Position ID: Gs+DMQCs2wYHAA Match ID: QYkqAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 13/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/6	+0.526
			79.1% 1.6% 0.0% - 20.9% 0.2% 0.0%
	2	2	13/8 7/5	+0.518 ( -0.008)
			78.8% 1.6% 0.0% - 21.2% 0.3% 0.0%
	3	2	13/8 3/1	+0.517 ( -0.009)
			78.8% 1.4% 0.0% - 21.2% 0.3% 0.0%
	4	2	13/8 6/4	+0.515 ( -0.011)
			78.6% 1.5% 0.0% - 21.4% 0.2% 0.0%
	5	2	13/8 5/3	+0.510 ( -0.016)
			78.5% 1.4% 0.0% - 21.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Move number 19: Moshe Tissona to play 61

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 122, Jon Royset 99
Position ID: rLsNBgAaz4MxAA Match ID: AQEnAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 8/2 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/2 6/5	-0.494
			22.1% 0.3% 0.0% - 77.9% 1.4% 0.0%
	2	2	8/7 8/2	-0.499 ( -0.005)
			22.0% 0.3% 0.0% - 78.0% 1.4% 0.0%
	3	2	8/1	-0.526 ( -0.032)
			21.2% 0.4% 0.0% - 78.8% 2.3% 0.0%
	4	2	8/2 3/2	-0.538 ( -0.044)
			20.5% 0.2% 0.0% - 79.5% 1.8% 0.0%
	5	2	13/7 8/7	-0.681 ( -0.187)
			18.8% 1.2% 0.0% - 81.2% 12.2% 0.2%

Move number 20: Jon Royset to play 31

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 115, Jon Royset 99
Position ID: Np2DMQCsuw0GAA Match ID: QYklAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 7/4 3/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	8/5 3/2	+0.450
			75.7% 1.8% 0.0% - 24.3% 0.2% 0.0%
	2	2	8/4	+0.448 ( -0.002)
			75.8% 1.4% 0.0% - 24.2% 0.2% 0.0%
•	3	2	7/4 3/2	+0.448 ( -0.002)
			75.8% 1.3% 0.0% - 24.2% 0.2% 0.0%
	4	2	7/4 5/4	+0.445 ( -0.006)
			75.7% 1.3% 0.0% - 24.3% 0.2% 0.0%
	5	2	6/2	+0.444 ( -0.006)
			75.7% 1.3% 0.0% - 24.3% 0.2% 0.0%

Move number 21: Moshe Tissona to play 64

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 115, Jon Royset 95
Position ID: ancNBgA2nYMxAA Match ID: AQEzAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 8/4 8/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/9 13/7	-0.341
			28.4% 0.3% 0.0% - 71.6% 0.7% 0.0%
•	2	2	8/4 8/2	-0.368 ( -0.028)
			27.4% 0.3% 0.0% - 72.6% 1.1% 0.0%
	3	2	8/2 5/1	-0.406 ( -0.065)
			26.1% 0.2% 0.0% - 73.9% 1.6% 0.0%
	4	2	8/2 6/2	-0.427 ( -0.086)
			25.2% 0.2% 0.0% - 74.8% 1.7% 0.0%
	5	2	13/7 8/4	-0.466 ( -0.125)
			26.6% 3.8% 0.2% - 73.4% 11.5% 0.6%

Move number 22: Jon Royset to play 51

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 105, Jon Royset 95
Position ID: bnWCMQBqdw0GAA Match ID: QYkmAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 8/7 8/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	8/3 5/4	+0.338
			71.2% 1.2% 0.0% - 28.8% 0.3% 0.0%
•	2	2	8/7 8/3	+0.338 ( -0.000)
			71.2% 1.3% 0.0% - 28.8% 0.3% 0.0%
	3	2	8/3 6/5	+0.336 ( -0.002)
			71.1% 1.3% 0.0% - 28.9% 0.3% 0.0%
	4	2	8/3 2/1	+0.336 ( -0.002)
			71.1% 1.2% 0.0% - 28.9% 0.3% 0.0%
	5	2	8/2	+0.332 ( -0.006)
			70.9% 1.3% 0.0% - 29.1% 0.3% 0.0%

Move number 23: Moshe Tissona to play 55

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 105, Jon Royset 89
Position ID: 2u4GBgBudYIxAA Match ID: AYE2AxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 16/11(2) 13/8(2)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.379)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	16/6(2)	+0.099
			47.3% 0.0% 0.0% - 52.7% 0.0% 0.0%
•	2	2	16/11(2) 13/8(2)	+0.092 ( -0.007)
			47.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 53.0% 0.0% 0.0%
	3	2	16/6 16/11 8/3	+0.091 ( -0.008)
			47.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 53.0% 0.0% 0.0%
	4	2	16/1 16/11	+0.075 ( -0.024)
			46.3% 0.0% 0.0% - 53.7% 0.0% 0.0%
	5	2	16/11(2) 8/3 6/1	+0.070 ( -0.029)
			46.0% 0.1% 0.0% - 54.0% 0.2% 0.0%

Move number 24: Jon Royset to play 31

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 85, Jon Royset 89
Position ID: bnWOAQDa7gYGAA Match ID: QYklAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 7/6 7/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/10 7/6	-0.298
			44.2% 0.0% 0.0% - 55.8% 0.0% 0.0%
•	2	2	7/6 7/4	-0.300 ( -0.002)
			44.2% 0.0% 0.0% - 55.8% 0.0% 0.0%
	3	2	13/12 7/4	-0.303 ( -0.005)
			44.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 56.0% 0.0% 0.0%
	4	2	13/12 13/10	-0.307 ( -0.009)
			43.9% 0.0% 0.0% - 56.1% 0.0% 0.0%
	5	2	13/9	-0.315 ( -0.017)
			43.5% 0.0% 0.0% - 56.5% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 25: Moshe Tissona to play 55

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 85, Jon Royset 85
Position ID: 2t0DBgBudY4BAA Match ID: AYE2AxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 11/6(2) 8/3(2)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.533)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	11/6(2) 8/3(2)	+0.914
			79.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 21.0% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	11/1 11/6 8/3	+0.903 ( -0.010)
			78.3% 0.0% 0.0% - 21.7% 0.0% 0.0%
	3	2	11/1 8/3(2)	+0.897 ( -0.017)
			77.9% 0.0% 0.0% - 22.1% 0.0% 0.0%
	4	2	11/6 8/3(3)	+0.892 ( -0.021)
			77.6% 0.0% 0.0% - 22.4% 0.0% 0.0%
	5	2	11/1 8/3 6/1	+0.878 ( -0.035)
			77.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 23.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 26: Jon Royset to play 54

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 65, Jon Royset 85
Position ID: 7tUnAADa3QMGAA Match ID: QYkyAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 13/9 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/9 13/8	-1.000
			21.7% 0.0% 0.0% - 78.3% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	13/4	-1.000 ( +0.000)
			21.5% 0.0% 0.0% - 78.5% 0.0% 0.0%
	3	2	13/9 6/1	-1.000 ( +0.000)
			20.5% 0.0% 0.0% - 79.5% 0.0% 0.0%
	4	2	13/8 6/2	-1.000 ( +0.000)
			20.3% 0.0% 0.0% - 79.7% 0.0% 0.0%
	5	2	13/8 5/1	-1.000 ( +0.000)
			20.2% 0.0% 0.0% - 79.8% 0.0% 0.0%

Annotation

Bots: Snowie thinks it is a close take, whereas GNU thinks it is a close pass.

Move number 27: Moshe Tissona doubles to 4

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 65, Jon Royset 76
Position ID: 2t1TAADu1ScAAA Match ID: ARkgAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset accepts

Alert: wrong take ( -0.032)! [doubtful]

Cube decision

Rollout cubeless equity

+0.563

(Money: +0.563)

Cubeful equities:

Double, pass

+1.000

Double, take

+1.032

(+0.032)

No double

+0.875

(-0.125)

Proper cube action:

Redouble, pass

Rollout details

	Win	W g	W bg		Lose	L g	L bg	Cubeless	Cubeful
Player Moshe Tissona owns 2-cube	78.2%	0.0%	0.0%	-	21.8%	0.0%	0.0%	+0.563	+0.875
Standard error	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.000	0.002
Player Jon Royset owns 4-cube	78.1%	0.0%	0.0%	-	21.9%	0.0%	0.0%	+1.208	+1.032
Standard error	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.001	0.003

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1174505984 and quasi-random dice

Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Cube: 2-ply cubeful 33% speed

Move number 28: Moshe Tissona to play 22

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 65, Jon Royset 76
Position ID: 2t1TAADu1ScAAA Match ID: EgEpAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 8/6 2/off(3)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/6 2/off(3)	+0.564
			81.8% 0.0% 0.0% - 18.2% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	8/4 2/off(2)	+0.561 ( -0.003)
			81.7% 0.0% 0.0% - 18.3% 0.0% 0.0%
	3	2	8/6 3/1 2/off(2)	+0.543 ( -0.021)
			80.9% 0.0% 0.0% - 19.1% 0.0% 0.0%
	4	2	8/4 6/4 2/off	+0.541 ( -0.022)
			80.9% 0.0% 0.0% - 19.1% 0.0% 0.0%
	5	2	8/4 3/1 2/off	+0.536 ( -0.027)
			80.7% 0.0% 0.0% - 19.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 29: Jon Royset to play 66

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 57, Jon Royset 76
Position ID: vPoBAEC7ewoAAA Match ID: Ugk7AxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 9/3 8/2 6/off(2)

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0.859)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	9/3 8/2 6/off(2)	+0.303
			53.6% 0.0% 0.0% - 46.4% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 30: Moshe Tissona to play 65

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 57, Jon Royset 52
Position ID: dncDAACvfgAAAA Match ID: EgE3AxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 6/off 5/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/off 5/off	-0.122
			53.3% 0.0% 0.0% - 46.7% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	6/1 6/off	-0.131 ( -0.009)
			52.9% 0.0% 0.0% - 47.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 31: Jon Royset to play 43

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 46, Jon Royset 52
Position ID: vHwAALC7GwAAAA Match ID: UgkuAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 4/off 3/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	4/off 3/off	+0.065
			44.9% 0.0% 0.0% - 55.1% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	5/1 3/off	+0.007 ( -0.058)
			42.3% 0.0% 0.0% - 57.7% 0.0% 0.0%
	3	2	6/2 3/off	-0.063 ( -0.128)
			39.3% 0.0% 0.0% - 60.7% 0.0% 0.0%
	4	2	4/1 4/off	-0.064 ( -0.129)
			39.4% 0.0% 0.0% - 60.7% 0.0% 0.0%
	5	2	5/2 4/off	-0.075 ( -0.141)
			38.7% 0.0% 0.0% - 61.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 32: Moshe Tissona to play 64

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 46, Jon Royset 45
Position ID: tt0AAMDLBwAAAA Match ID: EgEzAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 6/off 4/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/off 4/off	+0.084
			61.8% 0.0% 0.0% - 38.2% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	6/2 6/off	+0.078 ( -0.006)
			61.5% 0.0% 0.0% - 38.5% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 33: Jon Royset to play 42

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 36, Jon Royset 45
Position ID: PB4AAGy7AQAAAA Match ID: UgkqAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 4/off 2/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	4/off 2/off	-0.224
			32.6% 0.0% 0.0% - 67.4% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	5/1 2/off	-0.275 ( -0.050)
			30.4% 0.0% 0.0% - 69.6% 0.0% 0.0%
	3	2	6/off	-0.320 ( -0.096)
			28.5% 0.0% 0.0% - 71.5% 0.0% 0.0%
	4	2	4/off 3/1	-0.334 ( -0.109)
			28.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 72.0% 0.0% 0.0%
	5	2	5/3 4/off	-0.354 ( -0.129)
			27.1% 0.0% 0.0% - 72.9% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 34: Moshe Tissona to play 53

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 36, Jon Royset 39
Position ID: WjcAAPB4AAAAAA Match ID: EoEuAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 6/1 3/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/1 3/off	+0.249
			68.5% 0.0% 0.0% - 31.5% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	6/3 6/1	+0.045 ( -0.205)
			59.9% 0.0% 0.0% - 40.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 35: Jon Royset to play 43

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 28, Jon Royset 39
Position ID: OQ4AAFo3AAAAAA Match ID: UgkuAxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 4/off 3/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	4/off 3/off	-0.400
			26.9% 0.0% 0.0% - 73.1% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	5/1 3/off	-0.428 ( -0.028)
			25.5% 0.0% 0.0% - 74.5% 0.0% 0.0%
	3	2	6/2 3/off	-0.466 ( -0.066)
			23.2% 0.0% 0.0% - 76.8% 0.0% 0.0%
	4	2	5/2 4/off	-0.494 ( -0.093)
			21.7% 0.0% 0.0% - 78.3% 0.0% 0.0%
	5	2	6/3 4/off	-0.496 ( -0.096)
			21.6% 0.0% 0.0% - 78.4% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 36: Moshe Tissona to play 11

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 28, Jon Royset 32
Position ID: yg0AADkOAAAAAA Match ID: EoEkAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 6/5(2) 3/2 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	3/off 1/off	+0.274
			67.4% 0.0% 0.0% - 32.6% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	6/4 3/2 1/off	+0.247 ( -0.027)
			66.1% 0.0% 0.0% - 33.9% 0.0% 0.0%
•	3	2	6/5(2) 3/2 1/off	+0.242 ( -0.033)
			65.9% 0.0% 0.0% - 34.1% 0.0% 0.0%
	4	2	6/4 6/5 1/off	+0.240 ( -0.035)
			66.0% 0.0% 0.0% - 34.0% 0.0% 0.0%
	5	2	6/5 3/off	+0.237 ( -0.038)
			65.6% 0.0% 0.0% - 34.4% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 37: Jon Royset to play 55

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 24, Jon Royset 32
Position ID: mgUAAOUGAAAAAA Match ID: Uok2AxABiAAA

• Jon Royset moves 6/1 5/off(3)

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +1.143)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/1 5/off(3)	+0.913
			84.3% 0.0% 0.0% - 15.7% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	6/1(2) 5/off(2)	+0.854 ( -0.059)
			77.6% 0.0% 0.0% - 22.4% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 38: Moshe Tissona to play 31

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 24, Jon Royset 12
Position ID: FQEAQLMAAAAAAA Match ID: EoElAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona moves 5/4 3/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	5/4 3/off	-1.000
			6.4% 0.0% 0.0% - 93.6% 0.0% 0.0%
	2	2	6/5 3/off	-1.000 ( +0.000)
			5.8% 0.0% 0.0% - 94.2% 0.0% 0.0%
	3	2	3/off 2/1	-1.000 ( +0.000)
			5.6% 0.0% 0.0% - 94.3% 0.0% 0.0%
	4	2	3/2 3/off	-1.000 ( +0.000)
			5.5% 0.0% 0.0% - 94.5% 0.0% 0.0%
	5	2	6/3 5/4	-1.000 ( +0.000)
			4.7% 0.0% 0.0% - 95.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Move number 39: Jon Royset doubles to 8

Pip counts: Moshe Tissona 20, Jon Royset 12
Position ID: qgIAQEUAAAAAAA Match ID: UhEgAxABiAAA

• Moshe Tissona rejects

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.871	(Money: +0.871)
	93.6% 0.0% 0.0% - 6.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000
2.	Double, take	+1.846	(+0.846)
3.	No double	+0.949	(-0.051)
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass

Jon Royset wins 4 points

Game statistics for game 24
Player	Moshe Tissona	Jon Royset
Checker play statistics
Total moves	18	18
Unforced moves	17	17
Moves marked very good	0	0
Moves marked good	0	0
Moves marked interesting	0	0
Moves unmarked	13	17
Moves marked doubtful	5	1
Moves marked bad	0	0
Moves marked very bad	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.226 ( -2.478%)	-0.031 ( -0.187%)
Error rate (pr. move)	-0.013 ( -0.146% )	-0.002 ( -0.011%)
Chequer play rating	Intermediate	Supernatural
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	2
Rolls marked lucky	2	0
Rolls unmarked	16	16
Rolls marked unlucky	0	0
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck rate (total)	+0.686 (+12.612%)	+1.756 (+37.856%)
Luck rate (pr. move)	+0.038 ( +0.701%)	+0.098 ( +2.103%)
Luck rating	Good dice, man!	Go to Las Vegas immediately
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	15	12
Close or actual cube decisions	3	6
Doubles	1	2
Takes	1	1
Passes	1	0
Missed doubles around DP	0	1 (-0.143 ( -0.746%))
Missed doubles around TG	0	0
Wrong doubles around DP	0	0
Wrong doubles around TG	0	0
Wrong takes	0	1 (-0.032 ( -0.352%))
Wrong passes	0	0
Error rate (total)	0	-0.176 ( -1.098%)
Error rate (per cube decision)	0	-0.029 ( -0.183%)
Cube decision rating	Supernatural	Beginner
Overall rating
Error rate (total)	-0.226 ( -2.478%)	-0.206 ( -1.285%)
Error rate (per decision)	-0.011 ( -0.124% )	-0.009 ( -0.056%)
Equivalent Snowie error rate	-6.3	-5.7
Overall rating	Advanced	Advanced
Actual result	26.40%	73.60%
Luck adjusted result	51.64%	48.36%
Relative FIBS rating	5.72	-5.72

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Output generated Sat Aug 09 03:09:50 2003 by GNU Backgammon 0.14-devel 1.1238 030804 (HTML Export version 1.126)