Luck versus Skill

Forum Archive : Luck versus Skill

 
Strange result

From:   az-willie
Address:   sclaus@npole.com
Date:   26 March 2003
Subject:   Backgammon is a strange game ..
Forum:   rec.games.backgammon
Google:   S1kga.33281$jN6.8094@news2.central.cox.net

I just played gnubg a game and it analyzed it and declared me to be
awful in almost every category.

It said gnubg was supernatural etc. in almost all categories

But I won the game big time.

Funny I thought.

Douglas Zare  writes:

The reason you won is that ... you deserve to win! Not 100% of the
time, and it sounds like maybe not even 30% of the time, but you
deserve to win some of the time. For knowing to hit when you get a good
shot, you deserve to win a few percent of the time. For knowing to make
inner board points, you deserve to win a few percent of the time. If
you know when to play safely versus boldly, you will deserve to win a
few percent more. As you get better, you will not only deserve to win
more, and you will win more, and perhaps only a few humans and programs
will still deserve to win more than 50% of the time against you.

Douglas Zare
 
Did you find the information in this article useful?          

Do you have any comments you'd like to add?     

 

Luck versus Skill

Are good players just luckier?  (Douglas Zare, Sept 2000) 
Are luck and skill related?  (Eskimo+, Feb 2003) 
Does backgammon need less luck?  (Raccoon, Jan 2008)  [GammOnLine forum]
How much of backgammon is luck?  (Wai Mun Yoon, Jan 1998) 
How much skill versus luck?  (Alexandre Sierra, Nov 2000) 
How much skill versus luck?  (JP White+, Aug 2000) 
How often to win with perfect play?  (Robert-Jan Veldhuizen, Nov 2000) 
Is backgammon gambling?  (Luc Palmans+, Oct 2010) 
Is backgammon gambling?  (Kevin D. McLeaster, Sept 1997) 
Is there really luck in backgammon?  (benf+, Jan 2012) 
Recognizing luck  (Walter Trice, Dec 2004) 
Strange result  (az-willie+, Mar 2003) 
The Bower Luck-O-Meter  (Gary Wong, Aug 1998) 
Why are stronger players luckier?  (Bob Sweeney+, Oct 2002) 

[GammOnLine forum]  From GammOnLine       [Long message]  Long message       [Recommended reading]  Recommended reading       [Recent addition]  Recent addition
 

  Book Suggestions
Books
Cheating
Chouettes
Computer Dice
Cube Handling
Cube Handling in Races
Equipment
Etiquette
Extreme Gammon
Fun and frustration
GNU Backgammon
History
Jellyfish
Learning
Luck versus Skill
Magazines & E-zines
Match Archives
Match Equities
Match Play
Match Play at 2-away/2-away
Miscellaneous
Opening Rolls
Pip Counting
Play Sites
Probability and Statistics
Programming
Propositions
Puzzles
Ratings
Rollouts
Rules
Rulings
Snowie
Software
Source Code
Strategy--Backgames
Strategy--Bearing Off
Strategy--Checker play
Terminology
Theory
Tournaments
Uncategorized
Variations

 

Return to:  Backgammon Galore : Forum Archive Main Page