Forum Archive :
Match Equities
From: |
neilkaz |
Address: |
neilkaz@earthlink.net |
Date: |
23 August 2011 |
Subject: |
Accuracy of Neils numbers in relation to Kazaross XG2 MET |
Forum: |
BGonline.org Forums |
Neil's Numbers was created over 15 years ago to best match the Woolsey
Match Equity Table so it isn't quite accurate to the new rolled out METs,
especially for short matches.
I suggest using Neil's New Numbers (NNN). Just memorize a 4 pt match since
the old NN only had 1 relevent score (although -4-2 worked).
Don't round the halves. (Note that I never suggested to do that.)
Neil's New Numbers for 5 is 7.5 rather than 8. Nothing else is changed
until we get far into the MET. NNN for 11 is still 5 and NNN for 13 is
still 4.5. However, NNN for 16 is 4 (NN for 15 was 4). NNN for 20 is 3.5
(NN for 19 was 3.5) If you go all the way to 25 I guess NNN should be 3.1
(NN was 3)
As before when you get close to 90% you have to start adjusting downward
(more so when clearly above 90%).
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+
7.5 6 5 4.5 4 3.5
The numbers on top represent the number of points the trailer has to go.
The numbers on bottom represent what each point the leader is leading is
worth over 50%.
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Match Equities
- Constructing a match equity table (Walter Trice, Apr 2000)
- Does it matter which match equity table you use? (Klaus Evers+, Nov 2005)
- Does it matter which match equity table you use? (Achim Mueller+, Dec 2003)
- Does it matter which match equity table you use? (Chuck Bower+, Sept 2001)
- ME Table: Big Brother (Peter Fankhauser, July 1996)
- ME Table: Dunstan (Ian Dunstan+, Aug 2004)
- ME Table: Escoffery (David Escoffery, Nov 1991)
- ME Table: Friedman (Elliott C Winslow, Oct 1991)
- ME Table: Kazaross (Neil Kazaross, Dec 2003)
- ME Table: Kazaross-XG2 (neilkaz, Aug 2011)
- ME Table: Rockwell-Kazaross (Chuck Bower+, June 2010)
- ME Table: Snowie (Chase, Apr 2002)
- ME Table: Snowie (Harald Retter, Aug 1998)
- ME Table: Woolsey (Raccoon, Apr 2006)
- ME Table: Woolsey (Kit Woolsey, May 1994)
- ME Table: Woolsey (William R. Tallmadge, Jan 1994)
- ME Table: Zadeh (Jørn Thyssen, Mar 2004)
- ME Table: Zorba (Robert-Jan Veldhuizen+, Dec 2003)
- ME at 1-away/2-away (crawford) (Fabrice Liardet+, Nov 2007)
- ME at 1-away/2-away (crawford) (Ian Shaw+, Apr 2003)
- Match equities--an alternate view (Durf Freund, Oct 1994)
- Neil's new numbers (neilkaz, Aug 2011)
- Neil's numbers (Kit Woolsey+, Oct 1994)
- On calculating match equity tables (Neil Kazaross, July 2004)
- Turner formula (Gregg Cattanach, Feb 2003)
- Turner formula (Stephen Turner, June 1994)
- Using a match equity table (Michael J. Zehr, June 1992)
- Value of free drop (Neil Kazaross, Oct 2002)
- Which match equity table is best? (Martin Krainer+, Oct 2003)
- Which match equity table is best? (Ian Shaw+, Dec 2001)
- Why use a match equity table? (Kit Woolsey, Feb 1999)
- Worth memorizing? (Alef Rosenbaum+, Feb 2003)
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